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Estrela vs. Arouca: Portuguese Championship Match Prediction
In the 13th round of the Portuguese championship on December 9, Estrela will play Arouca on its home field. The visitors have not won in the last five matches, will they be able to break the losing streak today? - the answer is in our forecast. What are the best bets to choose for the match?
Command Analysis
Estrela da Amadora
PortugalCurrent form
Estrela have only nine points in 12 rounds, placing them in 15th place in the table. They are only able to break away from the relegation zone by additional indicators. In the last five rounds, the team has only won once, when they beat Nacional on their home field (2:0). In general, we have a typical home team, as eight of the nine points were scored on their home field.
Disqualifications and injuries
The team has no problems with its composition.
Interesting trends for betting
- Estrela have not won in the first half in their last five matches
- There have been no goals exchanged in the three previous matches involving Estrela
Probable line-up: Bruno Brigido - Veiga, Lopes, Ferro, Lima - Leo Cordeiro, Jesus, Jovane, Ruiz - Nilton, Rodrigo Pinho.
Arouca
PortugalCurrent form
Arouca is fighting for survival and after 12 rounds is at the bottom of the standings, with only eight points. A win today over a direct competitor will allow them to leave the relegation zone. However, it will be very difficult to get three points, considering that the Arouca team won their last victory in Primeira back in September. In the last two rounds of the championship, there was an away goalless draw with Famalicao and a home defeat to Benfica (0:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Galovic and Kouassi will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- In four of their previous five matches, Arouca have been losing in the first half
- Three of Arouca last five matches have seen goals exchanged
Estimated line-up: Mantle - Thiago Esgaio, Lamba, Fontan, Dante - Lum, Simao, Jason, Silla - Rodrigues, Trezza.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – no
The stake has played in two of Arouca last three matches
1.54Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
In two head-to-head matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half
1.36Bet Exact score 0:0
This was the score that ended the last personal meeting
8.90Tip and bets
The upcoming match will feature the outsiders of the Primeira Liga, who are fighting for survival. Every point in such matches is worth its weight in gold and it is unlikely that anyone will take an unjustified risk today. In the last face-to-face match, Estrela and Arouca were unable to determine the strongest, and ended in a draw with a score of 0:0. There is a high probability of a draw this time too.
Our prediction is a draw with odds of 3.10
Bet on total
Both teams are not showing their best in attack, we do not think that the game will be open. Moreover, there are direct competitors in the fight for survival, every point in such meetings is worth its weight in gold.
The second bet is total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.67
Bet on the first half
The previous personal meeting ended with a 0:0 draw at the end of the first half. We don't expect the opponents to force the action on the field at the start today.
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 2.15
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