LiontipsOttawa vs. Islanders. NHL Match Prediction and Bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Ottawa is in 14th place in the Eastern Conference and has not been able to significantly improve its position in the table. The team has been showing unstable results since the beginning of the season and, as a rule, cannot win more than one or two victories in a row. However, the Canadians play better on their home court than on the road, and have already managed to win seven victories in regulation time.
Let us emphasize that the strong point of the Senators is their attacking play and in many, even unsuccessful, games they end up with at least two goals scored. Incidentally, they had previously lost to Los Angeles (2:5) and Anaheim (3:4 SO) on the road, but with the support of their stands they were able to deal with Detroit with a score of 2:1. The club usually has its best start, with a 26:20 ratio of goals scored and goals conceded.
Travis Green team also makes great use of its power play scoring opportunities. The team currently ranks seventh in the league in this regard, with a 26.4% power play conversion rate. However, they still have a lot of work to do on their power play, as the Canadians are currently ranked 24th in the league in this area, with a 75.7% power play conversion rate.
Disqualifications and injuries
Perron and Zub will not play in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Ottawa is getting 8.56 penalty minutes per game.
The Senators typically get penalized at least four times per game.
- On average, Canadians take 31 shots on goal.
At home, the team is especially active in attack and throws a lot
Current form
The Islanders are Ottawa direct competitors at the moment and occupy neighboring lines in the standings. The team has been showing rather mediocre results throughout the season and recently has not been able to win more than one victory in a row. Let us recall that after a "dry" victory over Buffalo (3:0), it lost to Montreal (1:2 OT) and Seattle (2:5), but in the final confrontation, unexpectedly for many, it defeated Carolina with a score of 4:3.
In the match with the Hurricanes, the Islanders had an incredible second twenty minutes, during which they were able to score three goals and after that they confidently brought the matter to a victorious end. Incidentally, Maxim Tsyplakov, who is showing himself from the best side in his first season in the NHL and has already managed to earn 16 points in the goal + pass system, also scored a goal.
Despite all the problems, Patrick Roy team is only a couple of points behind the playoff zone, so it is possible that they will still gain momentum. However, to do this, they need to at least fail in the third period, because in the decisive twenty minutes they have already conceded 40 goals for the entire season. In addition, the club needs to improve its play in unequal compositions, especially in the majority, since it currently occupies the last line in the indicator of the conversion of the power play and has only 11.5%.
Disqualifications and injuries
Varlamov, Pelech, Duclair, Reilly and Barzal will not take part in the upcoming match
Interesting trends for betting
- The Islanders are winning 55.5 percent of their faceoffs.
The team still remains one of the best in the league in this regard.
- The Islanders are receiving 5.11 penalty minutes per game.
The club is the most disciplined in the championship at the moment
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was unproductive
1.75Bet 3rd period: guests will score
In the previous five matches, the visitors scored goals against the Canadians
1.50Tip and bets
The Islanders have dominated most of their previous encounters with Ottawa and have often been successful in regulation time. Even in mediocre form, the Islanders find a way to beat the Senators, as it is no coincidence that they beat their opponent 4-2 just a month ago. The visitors have been earning points much more often lately than before, so we would not consider them the underdogs in this matchup. We think that they are capable of taking things to overtime at the very least.
Prediction - Islanders to not lose at 1.75
Bet on individual total
Ottawa hasn't shown the best performance in most of the previous matches and has scored less than four goals. The Islanders have conceded no more than three goals in their last five meetings with the Senators. The last time the hosts scored four goals against the Islanders was back in 2020. It quite possible that the hosts won't be able to score four times now either.
We bet on Ottawa individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.60
Total Bet
Previous matches between the teams were not characterized by high scoring. The Islanders adhere to a closed style of play. They themselves score little and concede little in response. Ottawa also plays matches with similar opponents with a minimum number of goals scored. Moreover, the Senators will try their best to take revenge, so they will not take unnecessary risks.
We take the total under 6.5 pucks for 1.52
