LiontipsAtletico - Sevilla. Forecast (odds 4.35) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Atletico Madrid continue to show good results in La Liga. Since the last defeat to Real Madrid (1:2), Diego Simeone team has made a series of four victories in a row, including matches against Rayo Vallecano (2:0) and Cadiz (2:0). This confirms that Atletico have found their form and are returning to the contenders for high places in the championship. The team is currently in third place, seven points behind leaders Barcelona, but it is important to note that the match against Sevilla could be key for further progress.
In the European competition, the situation is more difficult for https://en.atleticodemadrid.com target=_blank rel=noopener>Atletico . The club failed to achieve success in the Champions League in their last two games – against Manchester City and Bayern. This has put their place in the knockout stages at risk, but they still have a chance and it will be important to see how the team plays in the remaining games. Atletico’s defensive unit remains particularly strong, having demonstrated the best second-half goal ratio in La Liga this season. This points to Atletico’s ability to control the game and not give opponents any counter-attacks.
Disqualifications and injuries
Thomas Lemar (injury), Stefan Molina (muscle injury) and Matthias Le Normand (head injury) will be out of action today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Striker Julian Alvarez has continued his winning streak, scoring first or last in each of his last nine La Liga games. His role in attack will be key, especially with other players out injured.
- Despite the problems in European competitions, Atletico consistently wins at home in La Liga: the team has won three of its last four matches at the Wanda Metropolitano.
- It also worth noting the team defence, which has conceded the fewest second-half goals of any La Liga team this season, reflecting a high level of discipline and ability to defend at key moments in the match.
Estimated line-up: Moldovan - Zubeldia, Witsel, Lino - Koke, de Paul, Gomez, Riquelmy - Griezmann, Sorloth.
Current form
Sevilla head into the game against Atletico Madrid with a decent lead over the relegation zone, despite their current problems with results. The team has not shown the necessary consistency in recent games, but still has a decent lead in the table, which allows them to focus on the fight for higher places. At home, Sevilla showed confidence, winning four of their last five La Liga matches.
However, the team has obvious problems in face-to-face encounters with Atletico - the last five matches against the "mattress makers" ended without a win. The confrontation with Atletico will not be easy, especially considering that the team has not won in the last five La Liga games against them. However, at home, Sevilla has always been strong, especially when they score first. Statistics show that in the last six home matches the team has won if they scored first.
Disqualifications and injuries
Niguez (muscle injury), Ejuke (muscle injury), Beid (injury), Niland (ankle injury) and Idumbo (ankle injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sevilla have won three of their last four matches by one goal.
- Only one of Sevilla seven home games this season have seen more than one goal scored in the second half.
- Sevilla are unbeaten in their last 13 home matches.
- Jose Angel Carmona has scored and received yellow cards in his head-to-head matches against Atletico.
Tentative line-up: Fernandez - Sanchez, Niangzou, Martinez, Pedrosa - Bueno, Carmona, Sow - Lukebakio, Romero
Trends
Bet Exact score 3:1
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Atletico last 5 matches, goals were scored in the same half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
Although Atletico Madrid and Sevilla traditionally do not produce many goals, this time the situation may be different. Both teams are looking to win to improve their position in La Liga, which will lead to more attacks and probably increase the likelihood of goals. In recent years, both teams have shown a tendency to play attacking football in decisive matches, and also have vulnerabilities in defense, which creates space for goals to be scored. In this scenario, we can expect more attacking action from both sides and a high percentage of chances to be converted.
Forecast - total over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.24
Bet on the outcome
Atletico Madrid have traditionally been strong at home, where they have established themselves as favourites, while Sevilla have been inconsistent in recent away games. Madrid have generally shown a high level of play this season, and given their desire to continue to fight for top positions, they can use their traditional attacking play at home to secure a confident victory. It is worth paying attention to the likelihood of the hosts winning by two goals, as the “Indians” have a powerful attacking lineup that can easily create a significant gap in the score against Sevilla.
Prediction: Atletico win by two goals with odds of 4.35
Yellow Card Betting
Matches between Atletico and Sevilla have often been high-intensity, with many fouls and infractions. This reflects the tough style of play of both teams, which can lead to a large number of yellow cards. Referees usually intervene actively to control the physicality of the game. Therefore, it can be expected that there will be many fouls in this match, which in turn will lead to a large number of yellow cards.
Forecast - total yellow cards over four, odds 1.83
