LiontipsValencia vs Rayo Vallecano: Spanish Championship Match Prediction
Valencia will play a home match of the 16th round of La Liga at the Mestalla stadium. Will the host team, known for its unforgivable play on the home field, be able to cope with the challenge of Rayo Vallecano, which is in good shape? Our experts have assessed the teams' chances and selected the most attractive bets for the upcoming match. Who will be stronger in this duel? The answers are in our forecast
Match announcement
Valencia
SpainCurrent form
Valencia return to La Liga after a tense 2-2 draw with Athletic Club last weekend. The result extended their winless run in the league to four games, causing concern among fans. However, Los Ches have continued to produce aggressive performances at home at the Mestalla, where they have picked up more points this season than away from home. The upcoming match against Rayo Vallecano will be a major test, given that they are mid-table and have shown consistent attacking results.
Disqualifications and injuries
The match will be without Diakhaby (knee injury), Domenech (muscle injury), Gaja (muscle injury), Pepelu (disqualification) and Mir (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- In eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano, both teams have scored.
- Valencia are unbeaten in their last three games against Rayo at Mestalla, including two wins.
- Striker Hugo Duro has scored three goals in his last two home games.
Estimated lineup: Mamardashvili - Vazquez, Tarrega, Garciorovsky, Correa - Almeida, Guillaumont, Lopez, Tejon - Duro, Fran Perez
Rayo Vallecano
SpainCurrent form
Rayo Vallecano head into the Valencia game on a three-game winless run in La Liga, with their most recent 2-1 defeat to Sevilla last weekend highlighting the deficiencies in their defensive organisation. Despite the slump, the Giants remain mid-table, but the gap to the relegation zone is narrowing. Given their historically difficult trips to Mestalla, this will be a major test for Francisco Rodriguez men.
Disqualifications and injuries
Espina (foot injury) and Garcia (muscle injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sergio Camello is a key player in the team: Rayo have not lost since he scored goals, starting in January 2023.
- Rayo have conceded in 10 of their last 12 away games.
- In six of the last eight head-to-head meetings between these teams, both teams have scored.
Probable lineup: Dimitrievski - Lejeun, Catena, Ratiu, Chevaria - Ciss, Palazon, Embarba, Trejo - Camello, Alvaro Garcia
Trends
Bet Exact score 3:1
The visitors have finished two of their last ten matches with this score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
2.15Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Valencia last 5 matches
1.99Bet Number 1 in the score
In two of the last five matches the visitors have had the number one in the score
1.69Tip and bets
In this match we expect active football from both teams, given their position in the standings and the need to gain points. Valencia, playing at home at Mestalla, is looking to rehabilitate itself in front of the fans, which means attacking tactics. Rayo Vallecano will show a fighting spirit, as they are also motivated to climb higher in the table.
Historically, head-to-head encounters between these teams have been productive, with four of the last five matches featuring three or more goals. The defensive lines of both teams also do not look impenetrable: Valencia often concede when playing first number, and Rayo fails to keep a clean sheet in away matches.
Our prediction is total over 2.5 goals. We bet on it with odds of 2.90
Bet on the outcome
Given the difficult tournament situation for Valencia, the hosts are obliged to demonstrate a productive game in front of their fans. The team had enough time to recover after the forced break, and the emotional upsurge associated with returning to the home stadium could be a decisive factor. In addition, Rayo Vallecano has difficulties in defense on the road, which makes the probability of a confident victory for the "orange" more realistic.
Our prediction is Asian handicap (-1) on Valencia. We bet on it with odds of 3.80
Bet on corners
There will be an attacking focus on both sides, which will likely lead to a large number of set pieces. Valencia will look to take control of the game on their own pitch, creating chances through the flanks, while Rayo Vallecano will show a desire for quick counter-attacks. This dynamic increases the likelihood of many corners.
Forecast - total corners over 10. This option can be found for 2.00
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