LiontipsLeeds vs Derby County. Prediction (odds 2.16) and bets on the Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Leeds are fighting for a direct ticket to the Premier League this season. After 18 rounds, the Peacocks have 35 points and are in third place. They are two points behind second-placed Burnley, but their opponents have played one more match. Leeds' success is largely due to their home performances, as they have managed to earn 22 points at home, and at the moment the team is on an open winning streak of six games in a row at home. The team played their last match away to Blackburn and suffered a minimal 0:1 defeat.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ampadu, Gelhardt and Gruev will be out due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- In four of Leeds' last five matches, both teams have failed to score
- Leeds have failed to win in the first half in three of their last five matches
Probable line-up: Meslier - Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Firpo - Tanaka, Rothwell, Gnonto, Aaronson - James, Piru.
Current form
Derby County are among the solid mid-table teams in the Championship this season and are unlikely to be in contention for promotion. At the moment, Paul Warne men are in 15th place in the table, with 20 points to their credit. The team is approaching the upcoming match on a four-game winless streak, with defeats in the last two. In the last round, Derby County lost to Sheffield Wednesday (1:2) at home. It should be noted that the Rams have won away only once since the start of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Nyambe and Rooney are out with injuries today, while Adams and Elder have too many yellow cards.
Interesting trends for betting
- Derby County have had goals exchanged in their last five matches
- In three of the last five games, the visitors have scored more than two goals
Probable lineup: Widell-Setterstrom - Wilson, Nelson, Cashin, Forsythe - Adams, Mendez-Lang, Thompson, Osborne - Harness, Yates.
Trends
Leeds to score in first half
Leeds have scored in the opening 45 minutes in three of their last five matches
1.61Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in four of the last five head-to-head matches
1.46Bet Exact score 3:1
Leeds have won two of their last three head-to-head matches by a two-goal margin
11.50Tip and bets
Leeds have won six home games in a row and are extremely motivated to get another three points, as they are aiming for a direct ticket to the Premier League. Derby County are currently in a slump, have not won in four rounds in a row and have been playing a worse season than their upcoming opponent. We think the hosts will confidently justify the favorite status that bookmakers have given them.
Our prediction is a Leeds win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 2.00
Bet on total
Despite recent setbacks, Derby County have regularly scored goals and it is unlikely that the hosts' less than stable defence will keep a clean sheet today. At the same time, Leeds have not left the field without scoring in their last six home games.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 2.16
Bet on the first half
Note that in three of the four previous personal meetings, the opponents could not identify the strongest in the opening 45 minutes. We expect in the forecast that today all the main events on the field will unfold after the break.
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 2.46
