LiontipsCacereno vs Atletico Madrid. Spanish Cup match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
"Cacereno" continues to delight its fans in the Spanish Cup. The team showed its best side in the previous round, beating "Cordoba" with a score of 2:1. This proves that the team knows how to prepare for important matches. At home, "Cacereno" demonstrates stable results, having lost only one match out of the last six. However, the meeting with "Atletico" will be a serious challenge, because the Madrid team is an opponent of a completely different level.
Disqualifications and injuries
"Casareño" approaches the match with a full squad, which gives the coach the opportunity to set the optimal tactical scheme.
Interesting trends for betting
- The Cacerenos are unbeaten in four of their last five home matches.
- The last time the Cacerenos met a La Liga club was in the Copa del Rey two years ago, losing by a narrow margin.
Tentative lineup: Isco - Duarte, Moreno, Ramos, Sanchez - Garrido, Martinez, Vega - Torres, Alvarez, Lopez.
Current form
Atletico Madrid are not without problems in a busy fixture list. Diego Simeone side continue to struggle on several fronts, which has affected their performance in recent matches. Despite a confident victory in La Liga against Cadiz (3:0), the "mattress makers" recently suffered a painful defeat to Lille in the Champions League (1:3).
Madrid have traditionally been successful in the Spanish Cup, and the current round gives them an opportunity to rehabilitate themselves and extend their seven-match unbeaten away streak. All four wins in this away streak have been clean sheets, which speaks to the high reliability of the defense under Simeone. A meeting with a lower division opponent like Cacereno gives them a good chance to strengthen their position in this tournament.
Disqualifications and injuries
Atletico Madrid go into the match with losses in their squad - Le Normand (head injury), Llorente (knee injury) and Lenglet (ankle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Antoine Griezmann is steadily gaining form, having scored in his last two matches in a row.
- Atletico have won five of their last seven Copa del Rey away games, keeping clean sheets.
- In the last three matches of the “mattress makers” against teams from the lower divisions, the capital team scored at least three goals.
Probable line-up: Oblak - Savic, Jimenez, Reinildo - Llorente, Koke, de Paul, Lino - Correa, Griezmann, Morata.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.84Bet Exact score 0:3
Two of the last eight head-to-head matches ended with this score
19.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Atletico last 4 matches
1.95Bet Number 3 in the final score
In three of the last six matches of the visitors such a bet took place
1.98Tip and bets
In today match, we expect a high-scoring game, where both teams will be able to show their strengths in attack. Atletico, despite being the favorite, often allows itself to play openly in such matches, which can lead to an abundance of scoring opportunities. Cacereno, in turn, will try to take advantage of the chance to surprise the opponent through counterattacks and set pieces. The history of the Copa del Rey matches and the current form of the teams suggest that we are in for a spectacular confrontation.
Our prediction is total over 2.5 goals, and we bet on it at 1.92
Bet on the outcome
The match against a team from the lower division is a great opportunity for Atletico to confirm their class and move further along the Spanish Cup grid. Despite the rotation, Diego Simeone charges are significantly superior to their opponents in individual skill and team play. The "Cacereno" will certainly try to resist, but the difference in the level of the squads and experience should tell. We are confident that the Madrid team will take control of the game from the first minutes and secure a comfortable victory.
Our prediction is Atletico victory with a handicap of (-2). We bet on this at odds of 1.90
Yellow Card Betting
Playing in the Copa del Rey always brings extra pressure for teams from the lower divisions who want to prove themselves. The Cacerenos can play hard to compensate for the difference in class, especially at home with the support of their fans. Atletico, although favourites, are unlikely to completely escape the fight, especially in the centre of the field. We expect a tough game with plenty of fouls, which will create conditions for the referee to resort to frequent yellow cards.
Forecast - total yellow cards over 5.5. This option can be taken at odds of 1.78
