LiontipsAthletic - Real Madrid. Forecast (odds 3.60) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
After another brilliant week that saw https://www.athletic-club.eus target=_blank rel=noopener>Athletic Bilbao maintain momentum with the leaders in the UEFA Europa League, they subsequently returned to La Liga with a 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano. The result kept the hosts in the race for the top four at this stage, while also extending their unbeaten run in the league to six, their longest since the ten-game run that ended in January.
Lions boss Ernesto Valverde has only played against Sevilla more times than his 33 touchline encounters with Real Madrid, and despite the negative head-to-head record, the former Barcelona coach has suffered a run of just one defeat in Bilbao’s last 26 home league games. It’s perhaps worth noting that the run began with a 2-0 defeat at Real, and the only team to beat them here since then has been another club from the Spanish capital, Atletico Madrid.
Injuries and disqualifications
Simon (wrist injury), Sunset (hip injury) and Berenguer (injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Oyhan Sunset has scored all three of Athletic last goals and has opened the scoring in all six of his home games this season
- The Lions have an outstanding record of just one defeat in their last 23 home games.
- The Basque club have not suffered a defeat in La Liga at home for more than 12 months
- The Red-Whites have not lost in the current championship for six matches in a row
Approximate lineup: Padilla - Rincon, Egueluz, Lecue, Boiro - Herrera, Canales, Olabar, Gomez - Javier, William
Current form
After another tough week on the European front, reigning champions Real Madrid secured a third straight league win in the last round, with coach Carlo Ancelotti saying the club was solving its problems "little by little". Los Blancos can maintain their newfound edge in the title race here, but will need to make use of the advantage they have in reserve to do so.
Away games should not faze Los Blancos, who travel here on the back of a 21st consecutive unbeaten away league game. Both teams have only played Barcelona more times than this in 186 La Liga games, and proximity breeds success when it comes to Real, who have beaten Espanyol more times in La Liga than this in 98 wins, and a five-game winning run at San Mamés has made them unbeaten in the league on nine occasions.
Disqualifications and injuries
Alaba (knee injury), Carvajal (ankle injury), Courtois (muscle injury) and Valverde (back injury) are out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid are the only team to have not conceded a goal in La Liga before the break at home this season
- Kylian Mbappe made it back-to-back league goals for the first time since September with his goal against Getafe.
- Real Madrid are the only team in La Liga to have scored in every away game this season.
Probable line-up: Lunin - Modric, Rudiger, Militao, Ceballos - Tchouameni, Diaz, Bellingham, Rodrygo - Mbappe, Vinicius.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Athletic last 5 matches, goals were scored in the same half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
Last season, Real Madrid easily beat Bilbao twice, and they did it easily and effortlessly. Today, we are on the side of another scenario, which could bring an abundance of attacks and scoring chances, while the problems with the defense of the "whites" could ultimately prove decisive. We expect an abundance of dangerous moments, but we still assume that there will not be many goals - both clubs will try to achieve success with minimal losses.
Forecast - total under 2.5 goals and we bet on it for 2.15
Bet on the outcome
"Real" is a cut above in any combination of the lineup, but the statistics of the last face-to-face matches showed that "creamy" will not crush their fellow countrymen and will try to get their points easily and with minimal losses. In addition, there are matches in the middle of the week ahead, so they need to save their strength. The hosts have their own goals and objectives, while Bilbao looks quite strong today, which may ultimately give them a chance for tournament points - we assume that the game may end in a draw.
The forecast is a draw and we bet on it with odds of 3.60
Bet on corners
Most likely, the abundance of attacks and the desire to get to the goal will bring a lot of set pieces. In addition, we believe that breakthroughs through the flanks will lead to a large number of corner kicks.
Forecast - total corners over nine. This option can be found for 1.94
