LiontipsManchester City vs Nottingham Forest. Prediction (odds 2.75) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Manchester City are in a significant slump and have not been able to win for seven matches in a row, taking into account all tournaments – six defeats and one draw. In the Premier League, the Citizens have an open series of four defeats. The last time this happened to them was in 2008. In the previous round, there was an away game against Liverpool, which ended in a natural defeat with a score of 0:2. The opponent had a noticeable advantage, made seven shots on target, while the Citizens made only two shots.
There are a lot of problems, first of all, in defense. In each of the previous seven matches, Josep Guardiola charges have conceded at least two goals. In the tournament table, Manchester City is only in fifth place after 13 rounds, and the gap to the leader Liverpool is a solid 11 points.
In the Champions League, in the last round, the Citizens failed to hold on to a three-goal lead against Feyenoord (3:3). Before that, there was a crushing 1:4 defeat against Sporting. Such failures led to the team falling to 17th place in the overall table.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kovacic, Rodri and Bobb will miss the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Manchester City have not lost in the first half in three of their last five matches
- Five of City previous six Premier League games have seen three or fewer goals scored
- Manchester City have not scored more than one goal in their last five Premier League games
- Eight of Manchester City previous 10 home Premier League games have seen both teams score
Probable line-up: Ederson - Akanji, Ake, Guardiol - Silva, Gundogan, Lewis, Foden - De Bruyne, Doku - Haaland.
Current form
Nottingham Forest have become the main discovery of the season in the Premier League and continue to fight for a place in the European Cup zone. The "foresters" had an unpleasant series of two defeats in a row - from Newcastle (1:3) and Arsenal (0:3). It is worth giving credit to the players and coaching staff that they managed to quickly interrupt this decline.
In the last round, in the game with Ipswich, Nuno Espirito Santo charges played in their usual manner with an emphasis on reliable defense: during the match, the opponent made only three shots on target, and did not create any particularly dangerous moments. The "foresters" themselves scored a goal from the penalty spot in the second half and held the winning score 1:0 until the final whistle.
https://www.nottinghamforest.co.uk target=_blank rel=noopener>Nottingham Forest have 22 points after 13 rounds, just one less than today opponent, and are in intermediate sixth place. At the same time, Tottenham and Brentford are "pressing" from below, with 20 points each. A victory today will allow them to move up at least one position. It should be noted that Nuno Espirito Santo team has an away win over Liverpool this season. By the way, no one else has managed to beat the Merseysiders.
Disqualifications and injuries
Danilo and Sangare will not play in Manchester today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Nottingham Forest have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- The Foresters have not lost in 11 of their previous 14 Premier League matches (seven wins and four draws)
- Three or fewer goals have been scored in six of Nottingham Forest last eight Premier League games
Probable line-up: Sels - Aina, Milenkovic, Murillo, Moreno - Anderson, Yates - Silva, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi - Wood.
Trends
Nottingham Forest to score in the second half
Manchester City have conceded in the second 45 minutes in their last five matches
2.46Manchester City bet not to lose on fouls
Nottingham Forest have committed fewer fouls than their opponents in 10 of their last 12 matches
2.20Bet Exact score 2:2
Manchester City have drawn three of their last eight home games
16.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet was successful in three of the four previous head-to-head matches
1.45Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
Nottingham Forest last four games have seen more than one goal scored in the opening 45 minutes
1.59Tip and bets
The hosts are on a seven-match winless streak, and have lost four games in a row in the Premier League. It is obvious that Manchester City is in a deep crisis and there are no signs of recovery. However, bookmakers continue to believe in the revival of the Citizens and are once again listing them as clear favourites. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest is having its best season, practically does not allow itself any defensive lapses and clearly takes advantage of chances at the opponent goal. We believe that even if Manchester City wins today, it is unlikely to be by more than one goal.
Our prediction is a Nottingham Forest win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.82
Bet on total
The current Manchester City has a lot of problems in defense. In each of the previous seven matches in all tournaments, the Citizens have conceded at least two goals. Nottingham Forest is distinguished by its precise implementation and is good at counterattacks. Taking into account the odds, a bet on the guests' individual total suggests itself.
The second bet is Nottingham Forest individual total goals over one with odds of 2.75
Bet on corners
There is no doubt that Manchester City will spend a lot of time at the opponent goal and will take a decent number of corners, the unsuccessful series must be broken somehow. It should be noted that in the seven previous home matches in the Premier League, the Citizens took no less than eight corners, which is what we expect this time.
Prediction – Manchester City corners total over 7.5 with odds of 1.70
