LiontipsChelsea vs Aston Villa. Prediction (odds 2.36) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Chelsea are in a real fight for a place in the top four in the Premier League for the first time in a long time. The arrival of Enzo Maresca on the coaching bridge has definitely had a positive effect on the Londoners' performance and results. They have collected 22 points in 12 rounds and, if they win today, under certain circumstances, they could end up in the top three.
https://www.chelseafc.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Chelsea have not lost in four rounds in a row in the Premier League – two wins and two draws. The Londoners drew with tough opponents – Manchester United and Arsenal with the same score of 1:1. In this period, they managed to beat Newcastle (2:1) and Leicester (2:1) with class. At Stamford Bridge in the Premier League, Enzo Maresca’s charges have played six matches since the start of the season and suffered only one defeat.
In the Conference League, playing almost always with a less than full-time lineup, Chelsea is achieving success. In the last away match, they managed to beat Heidenheim 2-0. With 12 points, the "aristocrats" are leading the standings after four rounds. So far, their only competition is Polish Legia, which has the same 12 points.
Disqualifications and injuries
James is out with an injury, while Kellyman, Gusto and Neto are questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Three of Chelsea last five matches have seen a 0-0 first-half score
- Chelsea have only lost once in their last 11 Premier League matches.
- In the Londoners' previous seven Premier League matches, both teams have scored goals
- Chelsea have lost three of their last four games on fouls
Probable line-up: Sanchez - Fofana, Colville, Badiashile, Cucurella - Caicedo, Fernandez - Madueque, Palmer, Felix - Jackson.
Current form
Aston Villa last victory was on October 22, when they beat Bologna 2-0 at home in the Champions League. Since then, the Birmingham team has played seven matches, taking into account all tournaments, in which they suffered four defeats and drew three times. It is obvious that a serious decline has been outlined, since they are unable to beat even the most formidable opponents. Thus, in the last round of the Premier League, Eddie Howe men drew 2-2 with Crystal Palace at home, and they only equalized in the 77th minute of the game.
In the tournament table, Aston Villa has not only left the top 4, but is not even in the top six of the European Cup. The defense has started to fail too often, especially in matches with top teams. They conceded four goals from Tottenham (1:4), and two from Liverpool (0:2). Undoubtedly, somewhere there was banal bad luck, but it is clearly noticeable that the Birmingham team lacks the class to deal with any opponent without problems, to "press" opponents even when the game is not going well.
In the Champions League, Aston Villa is in ninth place thanks to three opening wins. However, in the last two rounds there was a 0:1 away defeat to Brugge and a home draw with Juventus (0:0). The Birmingham team had a better chance of winning the match with the Turin team, but overall the draw was a fairly natural result.
Disqualifications and injuries
Aston Villa only have Ramsey and Onana in the infirmary.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have not won in the first half in their last four matches
- Both teams have scored in eight of Aston Villa last ten Premier League games
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in eight of their last ten Premier League games
Probable line-up: Martinez - Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne - Tielemans, Barkley - Bailey, Rodgers, McGinn - Watkins.
Trends
Aston Villa Win by Fouls Bet
Chelsea have been beaten by fouls in three of their last four matches
1.77Bet Total yellow cards under 5.5
This bet has played in 9 of the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at Chelsea field in the Premier League
2.75Bet Exact score 2:1
Chelsea have won two of their last four games by that scoreline
8.20Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet was successful in three of the five previous head-to-head matches
1.44Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
No more than one goal has been scored in the first half in Chelsea last three matches
1.65Tip and bets
Chelsea deservedly receives the status of favorite in the bookmakers' line. The Londoners have managed without serious declines throughout the season, even when Palmer game is not going well, there is always someone to prove themselves, the competition in the squad is decent. Plus, Enzo Maresca very clearly rotates the squad, Eddie Howe does not have particularly wide opportunities for such tactical moves with the squad, and the team is still playing in the Champions League. In the last matches in the Premier League, noticeable failures in the defense of Aston Villa were noticeable, which the Londoners can take advantage of today and score three points on their home field.
Our prediction is Chelsea to win at odds of 1.72
Bet on total
Chelsea recent matches have not been particularly productive. In the Londoners' six previous matches in the Premier League, no more than three goals were scored. Aston Villa are unlikely to risk playing too open football away from home. We recommend a prediction for the total under in the upcoming match.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.67
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Let note that Chelsea have won their last three Premier League games by one or two goals. We don't think we should expect a crushing victory from the "aristocrats" today.
Prediction: Chelsea win by one or two goals with odds of 2.36
