LiontipsAlaves vs Leganes. Forecast (odds 3.40) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Only three teams head into the weekend in La Liga on successive defeats, and Alaves are one of them. Their wretched run of seven defeats in eight games leaves them just three points clear of the relegation zone, and with two of the three teams in the zone having played fewer games, the pressure is really on. Alaves’ latest disappointing result saw them throw away a lead in a 2-1 defeat at Atletico Madrid, leading boss Luis Garcia to lash out at the referees, complaining “that all the decisions are being taken against me, putting my job at risk.”
Disqualifications and injuries
Novoa Ramos will not be able to take to the football field today (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Alaves have lost half of their league games after scoring first this season
- Alaves' John Guridi has scored two goals in his last three matches, with his last four league goals coming before the 15th minute or after the 75th minute.
- Alaves have scored first in four of their six home La Liga games this season.
Probable lineup: Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia.
Current form
Leganes have failed to win at this venue in their last five games, and with a five-game winning streak in the league this season, it’s hard to say which Pepineros team might end up here, although a home win would be a wise bet as they have failed to win any of their seven away games in La Liga this season. However, sitting 14th and one point ahead of the hosts heading into the weekend, Leganes remain a stubborn side with four draws, the highest away record in the league this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Garcia (injury), Tapia (muscle injury) and Franqueza (knee injury) will not be able to take to the football field.
Interesting trends for betting
- None of Leganes' last four home league games have seen either team score
- Munir El Haddadi could pose a threat for Leganes as he has scored in both of his last two away games, part of a run in which he has scored five of his last six goals on the road. Juan Cruz has scored in two of Leganes' last three competitive matches
- The visitors have failed to win any of their seven away games in La Liga
Estimated line-up: Soriano - Lopez, Brsanac, Cisse, Cruz - de la Fuente, Garcia, Gonzalez, Guairo - Hernandez, Raba.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches
1.99Penalty Bet - No
In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded
1.25Tip and bets
The opponents need tournament points and a goal drought will not bring luck. Yes, there are problems in creation, but the defense is not in the best condition, which will give some freedom to create dangerous moments. We assume that the opponents will go forward from the first minutes in search of happiness. We expect a minimal exchange of goals.
Our prediction is both will score and we are betting on it at odds of 2.10
Bet on the outcome
It is difficult to name a favorite in this match, but we believe that the guests are not much weaker. Most likely, the game will be equal, and Leganes is able to pull themselves together, especially since they have strength after a short break, which can ultimately bring them important tournament points. It is worth paying attention to the option of a peaceful outcome of this confrontation, which would suit everyone.
The forecast is a draw and we bet on it with odds of 3.40
Bet on a red card
Both clubs can compensate for the lack of technique and speed with foul tactics, which will ultimately help and bring an abundance of violations. In addition, three red cards were shown in the last three head-to-head matches.
Prediction - red card (yes) for 3.95
