LiontipsAvtomobilist - Avangard. Forecast and bets on the KHL match
Command Analysis
Current form
Avtomobilist remains in second place in the Eastern Conference standings and does not plan to slow down. The team from Yekaterinburg rushed to chase Traktor, which is now only five points behind Anatoly Golyshev squad. Earlier, the "machinists" had a series of seven victories in a row, but stumbled at home a couple of days ago. Nikolai Zavarukhin charges lost on home ice to Neftekhimik (1:3) and Kunlun (1:2, B), and two days later won a hard-fought victory in Minsk (3:2, OT). In a very equal match, the then guests were slightly more successful in converting their chances and punished their opponent in overtime for defensive mistakes.
The hosts have seriously lost their attack and there are reasons for this. Captain and attack leader Anatoly Golyshev was injured and will not be able to help his partners in the upcoming matches. At the same time, Stephane Da Costa, who ranks ninth in the league top scorers, remains in the ranks. The French forward scored 26 points (5+21) in the goal+pass system.
The goaltending duo of Evgeny Alikin and Vladislav Galkin remains one of the most reliable in the KHL. The younger Galkin has recorded five shutouts this fall and is among the top five goalies in the league in this indicator. Together, the goalkeepers have blocked 92.2% of shots.
Disqualifications and injuries
Anatoly Golyshev, Nick Ebert, Jesse Blacker and Curtis Volk will not play in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- "Auto" wins 45.9% of faceoffs
The Yekaterinburg team has problems with this aspect and allows the opponent to keep most of the face-offs
- Avtomobilist has 17.4% of the majority sales
The team has not been making the best use of its numerical advantage this season
Current form
Avangard has recently returned to the top eight clubs, but the Omsk team position looks very shaky for now. Sergei Zvyagin is handing over his post to Canadian specialist Guy Boucher. Together with the former goalie, the Siberians earned only 28 points in 29 games and generally looked rather dull, given the strength of the visiting team. In the current away series, the Omsk team won with great difficulty in Astana (3:2, OT), having recovered from a score of 0:2 after the second 20 minutes. A day later, Damir Sharipzyanov team took points from Metallurg in Magnitogorsk (2:1, B), scoring the only goal in regulation time with an empty net.
The "black and red" demonstrate very poor realization of moments and still have a negative difference in goals scored and conceded - 68:78. In the last five meetings, "Avangard" has scored only nine accurate hits, and the best scorer occupies only the 38th line in the league list. The defender-captain of the Siberians scored 21 points (2+19) and constantly assists his partners.
Nikita Serebryakov became a newcomer to Avangard quite recently. The best goalie of the KHL in 2023 won two victories as part of the new team and reflected 94.55% of shots on his goal. Together with him, the Omsk team can fly up the Eastern Conference table in the very near future.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mikhail Berdin, Sergei Boykov, Alex Grant and Daniil Stepanov will not come to Yekaterinburg on Thursday and will not be able to play against Avto.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Avangard allows 27 shots on its goal
The Hawks are quite prone to harassing their goalies and giving opponents shots.
- Avangard receives an average of 5.93 penalty minutes per match
Omsk players are rarely sent off more than three times per game
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In the last eight matches between the teams, no more than one goal was scored in the first period.
1.62Bet 3rd period: Avangard will not lose
Omsk have not lost in the third period in eight of their previous nine away games
1.42Tip and bets
Avtomobilist has been playing very poorly at Uralets Arena throughout the regular season and regularly gives up points even to the weakest opponents. Now the hosts continue to do without their leaders Anatoly Golyshev, Curtis Volk and Nick Bailen, who make a big contribution to the success of the Urals team. Avangard should be on the rise after the news and the arrival of a strong coach. Not long ago, the visitors signed Nikita Serebryakov, who managed to help his partners win two away games. We believe that the Hawks' winning streak will continue in Yekaterinburg.
Forecast - Avangard wins the match for 2.00
Bet on individual total
Avtomobilist scored only one goal in each of the two games at the start of the home series. The hosts' offense is weakened by injuries, and overall throughout the season Nikolai Zavarukhin charges look rather lackluster in attack in Yekaterinburg. Avangard has only conceded more than twice in the last five games, and Nikita Serebryakov looks very reliable so far.
We take the individual total of Avtomobilist under 2.5 goals for 1.75
Total Bet
This season, the matches in Yekaterinburg cannot boast of spectacularity. "Auto" scores only 2.08 goals per game at "Uralets Arena", while conceding slightly fewer than on the road. "Avangard" is very weak in attack this season, especially on the road. On average, the Omsk team scored 1.83 goals per game. We do not think that the match will be productive.
We bet on a total of less than five goals with a coefficient of 1.63
