LiontipsAnderlecht vs Porto. Forecast (odds 2.40) and bets on the Europa League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Anderlecht, under the leadership of David Hubert, have made significant progress in their play and results. The Purple and Whites are in fourth place in the national championship, but are only two points behind second-placed Brugge. In the last two rounds, they recorded crushing victories over Cercle Brugge (5:0) and Gent (6:0). In the Europa League, Anderlecht went three rounds without a hitch, but then unexpectedly failed to beat RFS away (1:1). Nevertheless, with 10 points, the team is in fifth place and has good prospects of finishing in the top 8.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vertonghen, Ashimeru and Hazard will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Seven of Anderlecht last nine home games in the Europa League have seen two or fewer goals scored
- Anderlecht have won in the first half in four of their last five matches
Probable line-up: Cosemans - Sardella, Simic, Zanka, Ndiaye - Leoni, Rits - Dreyer, Struykens, Amuzu - Dolberg.
Current form
Porto is clearly experiencing a game crisis, as evidenced by three defeats in a row. The failures began with an away game in the Europa League against Lazio (1:2). Then there was a crushing defeat 1:4 in the Primeira Liga against archrival Benfica. At the weekend, the Dragons lost in the Portuguese Cup to far from the most formidable Moreirense (1:2). In the LE, Vitor Bruno charges have earned only four points in four rounds, with which they occupy a modest 22nd place. It should be noted that the matches involving Porto are very productive - they scored eight goals themselves, but conceded the same number. The team only victory was over Hoffenheim with a score of 2:0 on their home field.
Disqualifications and injuries
Zaidu, Marcano, Wendell, Grujic, Jaime, Gul are injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Porto have not won in the first half in their last three matches
- Porto have conceded at least two goals in 13 of their last 15 Europa League away games
Estimated line-up: Costa - Joao Mario, Djalo, Perez, Moura - Varela, Eustaquio - Pepe, Gonzalez, Galeno - Omorodion.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In Porto previous five matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.59Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of Anderlecht last five matches
1.48Bet Exact score 2:1
Two of Porto last three defeats have been by this score
11.00Tip and bets
Bookmakers give the advantage to the guests in the upcoming meeting, which is very difficult to agree with. Porto is clearly in decline now, is on a series of three defeats, the defense is definitely not coping with its responsibilities. Anderlecht, after an unexpected misfire with the RFS, played two bright matches in the national championship and will try to build on their success on their home field today. We think that, given the odds, it is worth betting on the hosts.
Our prediction is Anderlecht victory with Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.40
Bet on total
One cannot ignore Porto weak defensive play in away matches. Thus, in 13 of the previous 15 away games in the Europa League, the "dragons" conceded at least two goals. It is unlikely that the Portuguese defense will work reliably today.
The second bet is Anderlecht individual total goals over one with odds of 1.74
Bet on the first half
It should be noted that Anderlecht has been playing confidently in the opening stages and has won four of the previous five matches after the first half. We expect in our forecast that the hosts will be able to immediately show their advantage.
Prediction - Anderlecht win in the first half with odds of 3.70
