LiontipsSporting vs Arsenal. Prediction (odds 3.60) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Sporting has been in excellent shape since the start of the season, and has been successful in all tournaments. In the Portuguese championship, the Lions have not lost a single point in 11 rounds and are leading the standings with a six-point lead over Porto. The team attack is impressive - 39 goals scored. In the last round, a 4-2 away victory was recorded over Braga.
Last week, Sporting played a cup match against Amarante. The match was notable for the fact that the team played under the guidance of a new head coach, João Pereira. This specialist was an assistant to Ruben Amorim, who left for Manchester United. The change on the coaching bridge did not seem to have a serious impact, and the team managed to crush the inferior opponent with a score of 6:0.
In the Champions League after four rounds, Sporting is in second place with 10 points. The Lions only lost points in the second round away to PSV (1:1). The Lions won the other three matches, including a 4:1 home defeat of Manchester City. The hat-trick in that match was scored by Swedish forward Viktor Gyokeres, who is in amazing form. It is interesting that, taking into account all tournaments and matches for the national team, the Swede has scored more goals than Arsenal have scored in all tournaments.
Disqualifications and injuries
Injured Gonçalves and Santos will not be able to help their team in the upcoming match. Debaste appearance on the field remains in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sporting have failed to win in the first half in three of their last five matches.
- Six of the Lions' previous seven Champions League matches have seen three or fewer goals scored
- Sporting have scored first in seven of their last ten Champions League matches
Estimated line-up: Israel - Inacio, Diomande, Reis - Kenda, Yulmann, Morita, Araujo - Trincao, Gyekeres, Katamu.
Current form
Arsenal had been in a significant decline for a long time, without a win in three matches in a row, including the Premier League and the Champions League. The Gunners' play was very cautious, they lacked courage, self-confidence, and their finishing was disappointing. In the last round of the Premier League, the Londoners, as they say, "broke through" - they beat Nottingham Forest 3-0 in excellent style. Mikel Arteta did not put Rice and Havertz on the field, but this did not hinder the team. Saka was good again - he scored a goal and made an accurate pass.
In the Premier League standings, https://www.arsenal.com target=_blank rel=noopener>Arsenal is in fourth place after 12 rounds. The leader Liverpool has pulled away from the lead, but the gap to second-placed Manchester City is only one point.
The tournament situation in the Champions League is not the most dangerous for Arsenal. The Gunners have seven points after four games, with which they are in 12th place and are only two points behind the top 8. In the last round, the Londoners played away against Inter. The opponent scored the only goal from the penalty spot at the end of the first half, Arsenal made active attempts to recoup, there were moments, the visitors definitely played for at least one goal, but the implementation let them down, and the opponent acted clearly in defense.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tierney, Tomiyasu and White are all out today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Arsenal have failed to win in the first half in three of their last five matches
- In seven of the Londoners' previous eight Champions League matches, at least one of the teams failed to score a goal
- Eight of Arsenal last nine Champions League games have seen two or fewer goals scored
Probable line-up: Raya - Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori - Odegaard, Partey, Rice - Saka, Havertz, Martinelli.
Trends
Sporting will not lose on corners
Sporting have not lost on corners in five of their previous six matches
1.87Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in Arsenal last four matches
1.48Bet Exact score 1:1
In their last three face-to-face encounters, the rivals ended in a draw
6.30Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In Sporting last four matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.67Bet Arsenal to win by fouls
Sporting have lost 13 of their last 16 matches due to fouls
1.80Sporting to score in first half
Sporting have scored in the opening 45 minutes in four previous matches
2.20Tip and bets
Sporting did not notice Manchester City in the last round of the Champions League. Of course, the Citizens are currently in decline, but in general, the Lions should not be underestimated. After not the most impressive matches, Arsenal secured a confident victory over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League and made it clear that the team is not in a serious decline. In general, we are facing opponents in good playing shape with a clear organization of the game, there are no obvious weak points. In the last three face-to-face matches, the Lions and Gunners were unable to determine the strongest in regular time, another draw by them will not be a big surprise.
Our prediction is a draw with odds of 3.60
Bet on total
Sporting and Arsenal have conceded only three goals in eight Champions League games between them. Their defense is fine, and neither team is likely to take any unnecessary risks. In addition, three of their four head-to-head encounters have seen no more than two goals scored. We don't think we should expect a very open game today.
The second bet is total under three goals with odds of 1.62
Yellow Card Betting
It is worth noting that in the five previous matches involving Arsenal, the referees have consistently shown more than four yellow cards. It is unlikely that this streak will be broken today in Lisbon.
Forecast - total yellow cards over 4.5 with odds of 1.88
