LiontipsParla vs Valencia. Spanish Cup match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
"Parla" achieved the second highest achievement in its new history - in 2018 the team played in the Trecera championship and today they will undergo a test of strength from one of the giants of the Spanish top league. The club was founded in 1989 and spent most of its history playing in the amateur league of Madrid. Nevertheless, the team has fans who come to a pretty decent stadium with 2000 seats and the team has two foreign players. In the first stage of the Spanish Cup, Jose Vadilla charges managed to overcome Sonseca with some difficulty - the main time ended without goals, but Opazo precise strike in the 99th minute brought today hosts a ticket to this stage.
Disqualifications and injuries
Opazo will not be able to take to the football field (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Parla have failed to score in three of their last four competitive matches
- Parla have not conceded in regulation time in their last two official matches
Estimated line-up: Jimenez - Sanchez, Almendros, Serrano, Tsvirinkalo - Garcia, Romero, Salmeron, Abader - Moliner, Javito.
Current form
Valencia are not in the best form yet, but the victory in the last game after a draw with Getafe (1:1) in the previous round was the best confirmation of this. After 12 rounds, the "Orange" managed to leave the bottom of the standings - the "bats" have two wins and only ten points, which is the worst result in Primera for this period in recent years. It is especially worth noting the game in attack - the guests managed to score four goals in the last game, which is more than in the last games in October. Today, the Valencians are experiencing the consequences of the tragedy after the flood with their fellow countrymen, which is why this match was postponed for almost one month.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vazquez (muscle injury), Diakhaby (knee injury), Domenech (muscle injury) and Mir (muscle injury) will not be able to play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Valencia are unbeaten away from home in their last three competitive matches
- Pepelu has scored his last eight goals for the club from penalties
What is noteworthy is that the team veteran also scored the winning goal in the corresponding match last season, which he scored from the 11-meter mark in the 74th minute of that match.
Estimated line-up: Mamardashvili - Casioro, Tarrega, Garciorovsky, Correa - Almeida, Guillaumont, Pepelu, Tejon - Duro, Rioja.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the last five matches, the visitors have scored goals in each half.
1.41Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in three of Valencia previous four meetings
1.71Bet Exact score 1:3
In three of the last nine matches the hosts' team lost by at least two goals
8.00Tip and bets
Today we are on the side of the representatives of the elite division, who have a very strong lineup in any rotation. Of course, the head coach of the "orange" will try to involve more youth, which will give an additional incentive to the players who will find themselves on the football arena. In addition, Valencia is stronger in all respects, and the desire to prove at least in the cup match their class will give additional strength to the guests. Nevertheless, the results at this stage of the Cup indicate that only a few representatives of the top league have defeated amateur clubs.
Our forecast is Asian handicap (+3.5) on Parla and we bet on it with odds of 1.93
Bet on total
We expect a lot of attacks from the visitors and maximum concentration in defense from Parla, who will try to avoid a rout and finish this tournament with dignity. In addition, this will not give any chances in attack for the hosts, who do not have enough class players. We assume that today some grandmaster minimum can be expected.
Forecast - total over 3.5 goals and we bet on it for 1.61
Bet on a penalty
Most likely, the main events will take place away from the goal, which will ultimately bring maximum tension to the center. In addition, the class of the defensive players will allow them to play in their penalty area without fatal errors.
Forecast - penalty (no). This option can be found for 1.28
