LiontipsBayern - PSG. Forecast (odds 3.00) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Throughout the season, Bayern have achieved their greatest success in the Bundesliga. This year, the Munich team, led by Vincent Kompany, immediately made their claim to the title clear and after 11 rounds they are leading the table with a gap of six points over their nearest pursuer. After a draw with Eintracht, the team went on a winning streak of five matches with a total score of 16:0. In the last round, a 3:0 home victory was recorded over Augsburg, although Kane scored the first goal from the penalty spot only in the 63rd minute.
In the Champions League, https://fcbayern.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Bayern has only six points after four rounds and an interim 17th place. The Reds achieved an important victory in the previous match against Benfica on their home field (1:0). Musiala scored the decisive goal, and Harry Kane made an accurate pass. Before that, the Munich team had two defeats in a row from Aston Villa (0:1) and Barcelona (1:4).
It should be noted that this season the German giants are unbeatable at the Allianz Arena. They have seven home matches in all tournaments under their belt. They failed to win only against Bayer on their home field (1:1). In the Champions League, Vincent Kompany team scored all six of their points at home. In addition to the victory over Benfica, there was also a rout of Dinamo Zagreb in the first round (9:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Pavlovic, Palinha, Stanisic, Ito, Thel and Buchmann will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayern winning streak in all competitions currently stands at six matches, and they haven't conceded a single goal in that stretch.
- Bayern have not lost in regulation time in their last 18 home matches in the Champions League
- In 9 of the 12 previous LM home games, the Munich team scored at least two goals
Probable line-up: Neuer - Laimer, Kim, Upamecano, Davies - Goretzka, Kimmich - Oliseh, Musiala, Gnabry - Kane.
Current form
PSG this season after Mbappe departure leaves a mixed impression with their play and results. In Ligue 1, the Parisians are usually unrivaled, leading after 12 rounds with a gap of six points from their closest pursuer. The team has 32 points, has not suffered a single defeat, and has scored 36 goals. In the last round, a confident 3:0 victory was recorded over Toulouse.
Things are not going as well in the Champions League as in the national championship. In four rounds, Luis Enrique team has only four points and is in 25th place, which does not give them the opportunity to play in the playoffs. PSG won their only victory in the tournament in the first round against Girona (1:0). In the next three matches, they managed to get only one point, drawing with PSV (1:1). The meetings with Arsenal (0:2) and Atletico (1:2) ended in defeats.
It should be noted that many of PSG problems are related to poor execution of moments. This was clearly evident in the game against Atletico. The "mattress makers" made only three shots on target during the match, two of which were accurate. The Parisians shot on target nine times, played for xG by more than two goals, but scored only one goal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kimpembe, Hernandez and Ramos will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- PSG have failed to win in six of their last eight away matches in the Champions League
- In 12 of PSG previous 15 away games in the Champions League, both teams have scored goals
- PSG have won in the first half in four of their last five matches in all competitions
Estimated line-up: Safonov - Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Zage - Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves - Dembele, Asensio, Barcola.
Trends
Bet: Bayern to win on corners
Bayern have had more corners than their opponents in 13 of their last 14 matches
1.45Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet played in the three previous head-to-head matches
1.76Bet Exact score 2:0
Bayern have won their last three head-to-head matches with a clean sheet
10.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
PSG last three matches have seen goals scored in each half
1.42Bet PSG win on shots on target with handicap (+2.5)
PSG have won 17 of their last 18 games based on shots on target
1.67Bet Bayern to score in the second half
In the two previous head-to-head matches, Bayern scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
1.52Tip and bets
Last season, the rivals played each other at the 1/8 final stage of the Champions League. Then, Bayern was stronger in both matches, and did not concede a single goal. Of course, now the Munich team has a different coach, Kompany has very little international experience in such a role, but on the side of the "Reds" there is an important factor of the home field, where they are unbeatable in all tournaments this season. PSG has not played well away from home in the Champions League for the first season, plus, now the Parisians have a lot of problems with the implementation of moments, especially in the Champions League. We believe that Bayern will earn the much-needed three points at home.
Our prediction is a victory for Bayern with an Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.89
Bet on total
We don't think we should expect more than three goals scored today. Bayern has an open series of six wins in a row without a single goal conceded. PSG has difficulties converting their chances. We also can't ignore the fact that in the last three head-to-head matches, more than two goals were not scored.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.82
Bet on the exact difference in the score
We expect in the forecast that Bayern will try to get a comfortable victory with an advantage of more than one goal. On their home field, the Munich team plays boldly and aggressively in attack, all the main forwards are in the lineup, it is unlikely that today victory will be with a minimum score.
Prediction: Bayern win by two or three goals with odds of 3.00
