LiontipsAthletic - Real Sociedad. Forecast (odds 3.10) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Athletic Bilbao booked a place in the Conference League play-off round during the international break after falling out of the top four with 0-0 draws at Mallorca and 1-1 draws at Real Valladolid. While he was reluctant to use it as an excuse, manager Ernesto Valverde admitted there were concerns after his side had won just one of their six La Liga games since the start of the Europa League proper. Two games a week is a challenge Valverde will have to continue to manage over the next two months, the first of which could potentially define their season as they face Real Sociedad.
Injuries and disqualifications
Simon (wrist injury), Sunset (hip injury) and Berenguer (injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Nico Williams made the most of his start for Spain, providing an assist and returning to a top Flashscore in their Nations League win over Switzerland
- Athletic have an outstanding record of just one defeat in their last 23 home games
- The Basque club have not suffered a defeat in La Liga at home for more than 12 months
Estimated lineup: Padilla - Rincon, Egueluz, Lecue, Boiro - Herrera, Canales, Olabar, Gomez - Javier, Williams.
Current form
Real Sociedad claimed their first league scalp of the season when they became only the second team to beat La Liga leaders Barcelona, with the 1-0 success marking their first of the campaign in which they have won two consecutive games in the competition . It was a surprising result for a club suffering their worst league season in almost a decade , but not for manager Imanol Alguacil , who described the result as “deserved and fair” . Three wins from their last four La Liga games , including two clean sheets away to Sevilla (2-0) and Girona (1-0), suggest the domestic tide is turning.
Disqualifications and injuries
Zakharyan (ankle injury), Marin (muscle injury), Aguerde (muscle injury), Turrientes (injury) and Traore (knee injury) will not be able to play today.
Interesting trends for betting
Real Sociedad Mikel Oyarzabal gave Spain a 1-0 lead in their 2-1 win away to Denmark. Oyarzabal is enjoying the fixture, scoring in three of the last four head-to-head encounters
- The visitors have lost their last four head-to-head encounters at this stadium.
- The White and Blues have lost just one of their last six games in La Liga
Sadly, this defeat to Osasuna took place at this stadium and, what is more alarming, the Basques were unable to even score against the rather mediocre Blaugrana.
Probable line-up: Remiro – Traore, Cardona, Kubo, Lopez – Marin, Gonzalez, Mendez, Barrent – Becker.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Athletic last 5 matches, goals were scored in the same half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
Today we expect active football, the opponents have had a rest during the break for the national team games, which can give them additional strength and desire. In addition, both clubs have a great desire and motivation to succeed in the Basque derby, which has always been a matter of principle for the opponents. Moreover, in two of the last four face-to-face meetings, both clubs scored.
Our prediction is that both will score and we are betting on it with odds of 2.15
Bet on the outcome
Athletic plays very strongly at their home stadium San Mames, where the team will have serious support. However, the visitors have a positive experience of meetings with the Basques, and we hope that they have a recipe for a successful game. The hosts are favorites, but we believe that today it is worth paying attention to the option of a peaceful outcome of the confrontation - both clubs are equal in strength and motivation, which may be reflected in the final protocol.
Forecast - draw with odds of 3.10
Bet on a penalty
Most likely, everything can be decided by VAR , which will find a violation in the penalty area, which will decide the outcome of the confrontation. Moreover, in two of the last five face-to-face matches, a kick from 11 meters was awarded.
Prediction - penalty (yes) for 2.55
