Liontips
Avtomobilist vs. Kunlun: KHL Match Prediction
Avtomobilist continues its home series with a match against Beijing Kunlun on November 21. The team from Yekaterinburg stumbled in the match against Neftekhimik and is now determined to get even with one of the outsiders of the Western Conference. The Dragons won a long-awaited victory in regulation time in Mytishchi and played to zero for the first time in the Moscow region. Now Mikhail Kravets' charges are heading east and will try to somehow improve their standings in the tournament. Will Red Star be able to give one of the championship leaders a fight? Read the forecast for the match
Command Analysis
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Russian FederationCurrent form
Avtomobilist remains in second place in the Eastern Conference standings and does not plan to slow down. The team from Yekaterinburg rushed to chase Traktor, which is now only four points behind Anatoly Golyshev squad. The Machinists have had a series of seven wins in a row, but stumbled at home a couple of days ago. Nikolai Zavarukhin charges recently returned from the Far East, where they confidently beat Amur (3:2) and Admiral (4:3, OT). On November 16, the Machinists achieved success in a duel against the same Sailors on the ice of Uralets Arena (1:0). However, a day later they were unable to deal with the guests from Nizhnekamsk (1:3).
The hosts have seriously lost their attack and there are reasons for this. Captain and attack leader Anatoly Golyshev was injured and will not be able to help his partners in the upcoming matches. At the same time, Stephane Da Costa, who ranks ninth in the league top scorers, remains in the ranks. The French forward scored 24 points (4+20) in the goal+pass system.
The goaltending duo of Evgeny Alikin and Vladislav Galkin remains one of the most reliable in the KHL. The younger Galkin has recorded five shutouts this fall and is among the top five goalies in the league in this indicator. Together, the goalies have blocked 92.3% of shots.
Disqualifications and injuries
Anatoly Golyshev, Nikita Ishimnikov, Daniil Romantsev and Curtis Volk will not play in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- "Auto" wins 45.3% of faceoffs
The Yekaterinburg team has problems with this aspect and allows the opponent to keep most of the face-offs
- Avtomobilist has 18.1% of the majority sales
The team has not been making the best use of its numerical advantage this season
HC Red Star Kunlun
ChinaCurrent form
Kunlun is still in the basement of the Western Conference standings and is the only team in the KHL that has allowed more than 100 goals this season. The Chinese have earned only 21 points in 28 starts and are one point behind Sochi, which is ahead. Fu Shuai team played poorly in October and almost did not win. In November, the Beijing team scored their second victory over SKA (2:1, OT) in the current tournament and only recently won their first victory in regulation time on home ice. The visitors played well in defense against Dinamo Minsk and withstood the opponent starting pressure (3:0). The Zubrs were unable to score against the Dragons, and for the first time in the regular season, they left the ice with zero goals conceded.
Despite their accomplishments this month, Kunlun are still very weak defensively. Even though Mikhail Kravets' team didn't concede a goal in their last game, the red light has come on 19 times in their previous five games. Jeremy Smith scored the game-winning shutout last game and the Canadian has a .9042 save percentage this season.
Tomas Jurco remains the Chinese club top scorer. The Slovakian forward has 17 points (8+9) in the goal+pass system and is close to returning to the list of the league 50 most productive players.
Disqualifications and injuries
All the visiting leaders will arrive in Yekaterinburg on Thursday and will be able to play against Avto.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Kunlun allows 33 shots on goal
The Dragons spend most of their time on defense and play second fiddle
- Kunlun receives an average of 8.18 penalty minutes per match
Beijing players very rarely get sent off more than three or four times per game
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In the last two matches in Yekaterinburg, no more than one goal was scored in the first 20 minutes
1.75Bet 2nd period: Kunlun will score
The Chinese have scored in the second period in four of their previous five matches.
2.00Tip and bets
Kunlun will come to Yekaterinburg after a convincing home victory over Dynamo Minsk, which should add confidence to the visitors. Mikhail Kravets' charges play much better away than in Mytishchi, but Avtomobilist has shown the opposite results so far. The team from Yekaterinburg has been unsuccessful on the ice of Uralets Arena and without leaders Anatoly Golyshev and Daniil Romantsev, it is unlikely to be able to defeat even such an outsider. We believe that the Beijing team will show a decent level of play and will be able to maintain a positive handicap.
Prediction - Kunlun win with Asian handicap (+2) for 1.62
Bet on individual total
Avtomobilist scored only one goal in each of the two matches at the start of the home series. The hosts' offense is weakened by injuries and overall throughout the season Nikolai Zavarukhin charges look rather lackluster in attack in Yekaterinburg. Kunlun dried up Dynamo and will definitely want to play reliably again. We don't think the Chinese will fail in defense.
We take the individual total of Avtomobilist under 3.5 goals for 1.75
Total Bet
The last matches between the teams were quite productive, largely due to the fact that the Urals scored in large quantities. Now we can't expect a hail of goals from the hosts and they will try to concentrate their efforts on defensive actions. Kunlun plays a little better in defense away from home than at home, so we suggest betting on a total under goals.
We bet on total under 5.5 goals with odds of 1.70
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