LiontipsLada vs. CSKA. KHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Lada has returned to the top eight in the West, but the Togliatti team position looks very weak. The club from the Samara Region has earned 24 points in 25 games and is only one point ahead of Sibir, which is behind them, and two points ahead of Avangard from Omsk. Quite recently, the home team underwent a high-profile personnel change. The head coach of the Filins, Oleg Bratash, was fired and Pavel Zubov was appointed in his place, who will act as the coach of the Volga team. Before Bratash dismissal, the Avtozavod team played well on the road and won three games in a row, but at the end of the away tour, they had a disastrous performance in Moscow (1:4) and Ufa (1:3). Returning home, the team under Zubov command snatched one point from Metallurg in a tough fight, losing in a shootout (1:2, B).
The club from the Samara region cannot boast of good realization of moments and scores only 2.24 goals per match. The Volzhane do not play the best in the majority, realizing a modest 12% of the opponents' penalties. Ostap Safin, who scored 14 (4+10) points in the "goal+pass" system, remains Lada main hope in attack. He is followed by Nikita Popugaev, who is currently in the infirmary.
Vladislav Pod'yapolsky remains the team main goalie without any alternative. The goalie has started 20 games for his team this season and has saved 93.7% of shots on goal, making two shutouts. Aleksandr Trushkov has only been on the ice five times this season and has not earned the trust of his teammates or the coaching staff of the Togliatti club.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vladislav Chervonenko, Rafael Bikmullin and Nikita Popugaev are on the list of injured Lada players.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada takes 27 shots on goal per game
The hosts don't shoot much, trying to concede as few goals as possible, so their attacking performance is quite modest.
- Togliatti earns 6.76 penalty minutes on average per match
The "Owls" are often sent off, but neutralize 85.5% of their opponents' attempts to convert the extra man.
Current form
CSKA have a very hard time earning points this season. The team is going through one crisis after another and has gradually switched from an open style of play to a more defensive one. This has borne fruit and now the "army men" have improved their position in the table. They have moved up to fifth place in the West and are only four points behind third-placed SKA, with four games in reserve. Ilya Vorobyov team have earned 33 points in 25 starts and should soon join the fight for a place in the top three of the conference. The "red-blues" have lost only one match since October 23. The Muscovites lost at home in the derby against Spartak (1:2), but finished the home series with victories over Lada (4:1) and Lokomotiv (2:0). The away tour of Nikita Nesterov team began with a confident success in Kazan (3:0). The visitors had a strong run at the end of the second 20 minutes and brought the game to the desired result.
Once one of the league most missed teams, they are now showing quality play in defense. CSKA has conceded only four goals in the previous five matches, and Ivan Prosvetov has firmly taken the role of the Army Men number one. Over the past seven games, the goalie has received a rating of at least seven and has managed to improve his save percentage to 92.75%.
Ilya Vorobyov had to sacrifice his scoring ability for the sake of his defensive reliability. Vitaly Abramov, once one of the league top scorers, has already dropped to 18th place, having scored 21 points (11+10). Forwards Maxim Sorkin (9+10) and Ruslan Iskhakov (9+9) look a little worse.
Disqualifications and injuries
Egor Afanasyev will not come to Tolyatti on Tuesday.
Interesting trends for betting
- CSKA throws 29 times per game on average
The "army men" have started to shoot less at the opponent goal. Now Ilya Vorobyov team is concentrating its efforts on defensive actions and this is bearing fruit.
- Muscovites win 51.8% of faceoffs
The Red-Blues' centers try to win as many faceoffs as possible in each game and more often
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In six of the previous seven matches involving Lada, no more than one goal was scored in the first period
1.68Bet 2nd period: CSKA will score
The Army Men have scored in the second period for four games in a row
1.47Tip and bets
Lada returned home and showed a good game against Metallurg. The Filiny changed their coach and did not change the pattern that Oleg Bratash followed. The hosts are still playing defensively and are largely counting on salvation from Vladislav Pod'yapolsky. CSKA has gained momentum and recently confidently beat the Togliatti team in Moscow. The visitors have practically stopped making mistakes in defense, although they have slowed down in terms of efficiency. We do not think that they will have serious problems in the match with Mikhail Fisenko squad, which is currently not in the best shape. We suggest betting on the victory of the capital club in regular time.
Our prediction is CSKA victory at 1.91
Bet on total
Matches involving Lada are often extremely dry and rarely entertaining. Since the end of October, the "owls" have not played a single game in which at least six goals were scored. CSKA has improved greatly in defense, but the visitors have problems in terms of converting moments. The teams usually play rather boringly against each other. Let play a bet on the total under in goals scored.
Forecast - total under five goals for 1.77
Bet on individual total
The Army Men have conceded only four goals in their previous five starts, which is less than one goal per game. It is difficult to call Lada a productive team; on average, the hosts score 2.24 goals per game. Ilya Vorobyov charges will have full control over the game and are unlikely to allow the Eagle Owls to score three times.
Forecast - individual total of "Lada" less than 2.5 pucks for 1.50
