LiontipsItaly vs France. Forecast (odds 2.20) and bets on the Nations League match
Command Analysis
Current form
The Italian national team approaches the upcoming game as the sole leader of the group, the team ticket to the playoffs is already guaranteed. With a high degree of probability, the "Squadra Azzurra" will finish in first place, unless, of course, they lose heavily today, although there are no prerequisites for this, judging by the current game.
Luciano Spalletti men have 13 points. The team lost points only in the home match against Belgium (2:2), where they had to play with ten men for most of the game. In the last round, the Italians won away against the Belgians with a minimal score of 1:0. In the 11th minute, Tonali scored the only goal. It is characteristic that in the future, the "Squadra Azzurra" did not play to hold on, had more possession of the ball than the opponent, and allowed the hosts to make only three shots on target.
The current https://www.figc.it/it/home target=_blank rel=noopener>Italian national team under Spalletti is distinguished by its focus on attack, bold football, it manages to easily break through a dense defense, and adapt tactically to any opponent. It is impossible not to pay attention to the 12 goals scored in five matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Scamacca, Ricci and Calafiori will not play in Milan today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Italy have won in the first half in their last four matches
- Italy have won seven of their last nine Nations League games in regulation time
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Italy last seven home games in the Nations League
- The Italians have not lost due to offsides in 10 of their previous 11 matches
Tentative lineup: Donnarumma - Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni - Cambiaso, Frattesi, Rovella, Tonali, Dimarco - Barella, Retegui.
Current form
France is performing below expectations in the current Nations League, although they secured a place in the playoffs one round before the end of the group stage. At the start of the tournament, Didier Deschamps' men suffered a major 1:3 defeat to today opponent. Then the team failed in the second half. Then they managed to win three victories in a row (twice over the Belgians and once over Israel).
It seemed that there would be no problems in the home game against inferior Israel in the fifth round. However, in the end, a goalless draw was recorded. Deschamps' team had 70% of the ball, made 24 shots (including eight on target), but were unable to score.
As a result, before the final round, the French are in second place in the group, three points behind the Italians. To finish first, they need to not only win, but do so with a large score. It should be noted that Deschamps is actively using young players in the current Nations League, which is largely the reason for the decent instability in the game and results.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tchouameni, Bade and Fofana are out today due to injuries. Mbappe has not been called up for the national team November matches. Eduardo Camavinga is out due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Interesting trends for betting
- France have drawn in the first half in three of their last five matches
- The team has not lost in regulation time in seven of its last eight away matches in the Nations League
- In five of France previous seven away games in the Nations League, both teams have scored goals
Probable lineup: Maignan - Kounde, Konate, Upamecano, Theo Hernandez - Kante, Rabiot, Guendouzi - Oliseh, Thuram, Barcola
Trends
Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in the last four head-to-head matches
3.00Bet Exact score 3:1
This score was recorded in the last three personal meetings
25.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the five previous head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.81Bet Total Yellow Cards Italy Over 1.5
Italy have received at least two yellow cards in six of their last seven home matches in the Nations League
1.60Tip and bets
The game is not of great tournament significance, but given the 1:3 home defeat in the first round, the French will clearly not play half-heartedly and will try to take revenge. This will not be easy, since Italy is currently on the move, demonstrating excellent attacking football, clearly using the flanks, and easily creating and realizing moments at the opponent goal. The result of the face-to-face match in the first round certainly cannot be called accidental. On their home field, the Italians will have no less chance of winning than on the road. Given the odds, the bet on the home team suggests itself in this pair.
Our prediction is Italy victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.02
Bet on total
Bookmakers do not expect more than two goals scored today, judging by the odds. Meanwhile, given the tournament position, the teams can afford to play open football. Moreover, the last face-to-face matches pleased with the abundance of goals scored - in four matches in a row, at least three goals were scored.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.20
Bet on corners
Let also pay attention to the promising trend in corners. In eight of the previous ten home matches of the Italian national team, at least nine corners were taken. We think that today opponents will easily overcome this mark.
Forecast - total corners over 8.5 with odds of 1.55
