LiontipsGermany vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Forecast (odds 2.28) and bets on the Nations League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Two rounds before the end of the group stage in the League of Nations, https://www.dfb.de target=_blank rel=noopener>Germany secured a ticket to the playoffs, having collected 10 points. This did not cause much surprise, given the strength of the national team against the competitors. Only the Netherlands team (2:2) managed to take points from the team in the second round. In the remaining matches, they managed to achieve three victories. At the same time, with a crushing score of 5:0 there was only a victory over Hungary, and in the matches against Bosnia and Herzegovina (2:1) and the Netherlands (1:0), Julian Nagelsmann charges won with a modest advantage of one goal.
It should be noted that the head coach in the League of Nations actively uses rotation of the squad, involves a large number of players. However, this does not prevent them from achieving tournament goals. The German team relies on ball possession and constant pressure. It should also be noted that Germany leads all teams in the League of Nations in the number of shots on goal.
This time around, Kai Havertz, Jamal Musiala, Benjamin Henrichs and Robin Koch, who were absent from the October training camp, are returning to the squad. Nagelsmann will undoubtedly have more opportunities to use different tactical schemes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Defender Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended, while Ter Stegen, Füllkrug, Undav and Stiller are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- In three of the last four matches, the German team won in the first half
- In nine of their previous ten home matches in the Nations League, the German team has not lost in regulation time
- Germany have not conceded more than one goal at home in five of their last six matches in the tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in four of the team previous five Nations League matches
Probable line-up: Nübel – Kimmich, Tah, Rüdiger, Mittelstadt – Gross, Andrich – Wirtz, Havertz, Musiala – Kleindienst.
Current form
Bosnia and Herzegovina failed the qualifying tournament for the European Championship and did not please their fans in the League of Nations. In four rounds, they managed to collect only one point, drawing with Hungary (0:0). With one point in their assets, the Bosnians are at the bottom of the tournament table and are four points behind Hungary and the Netherlands. A defeat today will mean that the team will go to League B next season.
In the last round, Bosnia and Herzegovina hosted Hungary on their home field and failed to score even one point (0:2). The opponent scored one goal in each half. Sergei Barbarez team had a significant territorial advantage, made three shots on target, but were unable to score even a consolation goal.
The Bosnians play very straightforwardly. You can see frequent passes into the penalty area to Dzeko with the hope that the aged forward will be able to create something at the opponent goal with his experience and individual skill. This tactic works from time to time, but in matches against serious opponents it is hard to count on anything. You can recall that they lost to the same "orange" with a score of 2:5.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Kolasinac and Radelić will not play today. The appearance of Gazibegovic and Dedić is questionable. Katić will serve a disqualification.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- The team has not won in the Nations League in nine previous away matches
- In five of the team last six matches in the Nations League, there was a bet on both teams to score
Estimated line-up: Vasil - Omerovic, Barisic, Mujakic, Bicakcic, Burnic - Gigovic, Basic - Huseinbasic - Demirovic, Dzeko.
Trends
Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in three of Germany last five matches
1.90Bet Exact score 2:1
Two of Bosnia and Herzegovina last four defeats have been by one goal
11.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of the previous five matches of the Bosnia and Herzegovina national team, goals were scored in each half
1.41Bet Total yellow cards under 3.5
Six of Germany last eight home games in the Nations League have seen three or fewer yellow cards
1.55Tip and bets
The hosts have a noticeable advantage in class, a solid selection of players in all positions, and there is a decent fight for a place in the starting lineup. Bosnia and Herzegovina plays quite straightforwardly, but it should be noted that the players give their all in each of the matches, in the first round they lost to the German team only by one goal, it is unlikely that the guests will simply give up the game today without a fight. We think that due to their decent dedication, the Bosnians will be able to avoid a major defeat. Plus, Germany in the current League of Nations has won only one game with an advantage of more than one goal.
Our prediction is a victory for the Bosnia and Herzegovina team with an Asian handicap (+2.5) for a coefficient of 1.96
Bet on total
Germany has a powerful attacking potential, the team has distinguished itself with its goals in all matches, it is unlikely that it will be different today. At the same time, Bosnia and Herzegovina has an experienced Dzeko, who is capable of creating and realizing a moment on his own. In the first round, the teams exchanged goals, which we expect today, especially since the odds for this are quite decent.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 2.28
Bet on corners
In eight of their last nine home games in the Nations League, Germany have not taken more than seven corners. We don't think the hosts will be able to overcome such a serious mark for corners today.
Forecast - Germany total corners under 7.5 with odds of 1.95
