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Sochi - Kunlun: forecast for the KHL match
On November 15, we will see a duel between the outsiders of the Western Conference - Sochi will host a fight against Kunlun at home. The last meeting, which took place between the clubs this season, ended with a confident victory for the Leopards with a score of 4:0. However, almost a month has passed since then, and Red Star is quite determined to take revenge. Moreover, it plays better away than at home. What should you bet on this confrontation? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sochi is in the penultimate place in the Western Conference table and has earned 20 points to date. It will be very difficult for the team to improve its position, since it is already five points behind the ninth line and often finds itself on a losing streak. Fortunately, after the previous series of four failures, Sochi finally pulled themselves together and first dealt with SKA away (5:2), and then beat Vityaz away with a score of 3:1. However, the final match against Torpedo away crossed out all their merits, since in Nizhny Novgorod they suffered a real rout - 1:7.
The situation at home for the "leopards" is no better than on the road, because in 11 meetings they were able to win only four times, and on average no less than three pucks ended up in their net. The club most disastrous performance can be called the first game segment, in which it has 13:27 in goals scored and missed, and often allows the opponent to earn a comfortable advantage in it.
Also, if Sergei Zubov team plays quite well in the minority and has 83.3% neutralization of the opponent majority, then it uses its numerical advantage mediocrely and now has only 16.5% realization of the extra man. Of course, Sochi attack lacks clearly expressed leaders and performers, so it often has difficulties in opening the opponent defense.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are no injured or disqualified players on the team.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Sochi allows at least 33 shots on goal
Sochi players are forced to spend a lot of time in their own zone and rely on counterattacks
- Sochi has a 22:19 ratio of goals scored and goals conceded in the third period
In the third period, the team significantly improves compared to the other periods and scores the most in it
HC Red Star Kunlun
ChinaCurrent form
Kunlun remains in the last place of the Western Conference and is literally two points behind its opponent, but at the same time it has played two more games. If at the start of the season the team was doing very well, now everything has fallen into place again, and it is the main outsider of the conference. It often loses in regulation time and loses by several goals. Not long ago, by some miracle, Red Star managed to get a victory at home against SKA (2:1 OT), but in the next three games it could not cope with Severstal (3:4), Spartak (1:5), and, having gone on the road, was already routed by Ak Bars with a score of 0:5.
It is worth mentioning that the club is currently the most conceding in the league, and the number of goals conceded has already exceeded 100. However, we note that while Mikhail Kravets' team cannot oppose their opponents at all on their home ice and has not achieved a single victory in regular time, they have finished six away games in their favor within 60 minutes.
The most successful period for Kunlun, just like for Sochi, is the third period, because in it they almost always score goals. But in the majority game, the team is doing even worse than the opponent, because now it has only 13.6% of the implementation.
Disqualifications and injuries
The team currently has no problems with its roster.
Interesting trends for betting
- Kunlun has 14:38 in goals scored and conceded in the second period
In terms of play in the second periods, Kunlun occupies the second-to-last place in the league
- Red Star averages 10 hits per game
Kunlun does not play contact hockey, so it is rare to see many body checks in their performance.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the teams, the first period was productive
1.95Bet 2nd period: both teams to score
In three of the five head-to-head meetings, both teams scored goals in the second period.
2.30Tip and bets
Bookmakers consider Sochi to be the favorites of the match, but we would not rush to conclusions. Kunlun plays very well away from home and has celebrated success in almost half of away matches in regular time. Sochi has just returned from a series of away matches, where they suffered a crushing defeat from Torpedo in the last game. Previous meetings between the clubs also often ended in favor of Red Star. We are expecting a meeting of two outsiders of the Western Conference, in which it is difficult to single out a more preferable team. We think that we need to start from the odds and try to play the victory of the guests.
Forecast - Kunlun win with handicap (0) in 2.30
Total Bet
Many previous matches between the clubs were spectacular and had a large number of goals scored. Both Sochi and Kunlun are not known for their good defense and concede a lot. Their matches usually take place on opposite courses, and both teams act on counterattacks. By the way, previous games involving Red Star also often had six or more goals, so it makes sense to expect a lot of goals in the upcoming confrontation.
We bet on total over 5.5 goals with odds of 2.00
Bet on individual total
On average, Kunlun scores at least two goals per match, especially when playing against opponents outside the playoff zone. In eight previous matches out of ten, Sochi conceded at least twice, and in four out of five head-to-head meetings against their opponent, they conceded at least three times. When away, Mikhail Kravets team plays better in attack, so it makes sense to bet on their individual total.
We take the individual total of Kunlun more than two goals with a coefficient of 1.52
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