LiontipsVillarreal vs Alaves. Prediction (odds 3.70) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
The action in La Liga is getting tight and fast as surprise top-four holders Villarreal take on an Alaves side who need points to stay above the bottom three. Having lost just one home game this season, to league leaders Barcelona, Marcelino’s side are flying high and looking to secure a top-four finish for the first time since the 2015/16 tournament. The Yellow Submarine sit fourth heading into the weekend despite playing a game fewer than those directly below them due to the effects of Storm Dana, highlighting the incredible season they are currently enjoying.
Disqualifications and injuries
Pedraza (injury), Foyth (knee injury), Moreno (muscle injury) and Suarez (muscle injury) will not be able to take to the football field.
Interesting trends for betting
Villarreal Ayoze Perez is having a superb time, scoring the winner in the dying minutes of Villarreal final La Liga game, his fourth league goal of the season, and completing a hat-trick in his side Copa del Rey thrashing.
Villarreal have had five league wins come after goals in the 84th minute or later
Estimated composition : Alcoado - Kiko Femenia, Albiol, Bailly, Cardona - Terrats, Comesana, Pareja - Danjuma, Pinot.
Current form
The hosts’ form will be a major concern for Alaves, who have lost all but one of their away La Liga games this season, and even their hard-fought 1-0 Copa del Rey win over small Compostela in their last away game will not inspire confidence. However, they beat Mallorca 1-0 at home last weekend and so will arrive at La Ceramica having at least ended a five-game losing streak in the league. But with that losing run their worst in La Liga since 2021/22 – a season in which they were eventually relegated – some may suspect trouble is on the horizon.
Disqualifications and injuries
Novoa Ramos (muscle injury) and Benavides (hip injury) will not be able to take to the pitch today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Both teams have scored in the last 11 head-to-head meetings
John Guridi is worth keeping an eye on in this match, as he scored his side only goal in their last 1-0 league triumph and provided an assist the last time Alaves visited this stadium.
- Alaves have lost half of their league games after scoring first this season
According to this indicator, after the first goal scored, the “glorious ones” won twice and lost twice.
Estimated lineup : Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Guridi, Romero, Rioja - Garcia.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In 3 of Villarreal last 5 matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
Both clubs are quite motivated for this confrontation. The teams need tournament points, and in a meeting with an equally strong opponent, they are quite realistic. In addition, statistics give high chances for goals to be scored - in the last 11 face-to-face confrontations, both clubs have certainly distinguished themselves, which we do not exclude today.
Our prediction is both teams will score and we are betting on it at 1.81
Bet on the outcome
Today, both clubs have a chance to succeed. The hosts are in excellent shape and have more chances and support from the stands, while we do not rule out that the "blue-whites" are able to pull themselves together at the right moment, especially since the team has worked on their mistakes, which may ultimately help them leave Valencia not empty-handed. We assume that it is worth paying attention to the possibility of a peaceful outcome.
Prediction - a draw in the match for 3.70
Yellow Card Betting
This fight will most likely not be an exception and may lead to a lot of violations, some of which may be severely condemned by the referee. Moreover, in two of the last four fights, the referee did not show less than four yellow cards.
Forecast - total yellow cards over four. This option can be found for 1.71
