Union vs Freiburg: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds of 2.70
Union vs Freiburg: Bundesliga Match Preview <p dir="ltr">The tenth round of the Bundesliga kicks off on November 8 with Union Berlin hosting Freiburg. Historically, Freiburg has never secured a victory in Berlin during their Bundesliga encounters. Will this trend continue, or can Freiburg finally take points home? Check out our expert predictions and find the best betting options for this match.</p>
Match announcement
Union Berlin
Current Form
Union enters the tenth round on a brief two-game losing streak. They were knocked out of the Cup by Arminia (0:2) and then lost 0:3 to Bayern in the league. Both matches were away. It's not a major slump, as expectations against Munich were low, and an early goal in the Cup disrupted their rhythm.
Overall, since the season's start, Union has performed best at home. Bo Svensson's squad remains unbeaten at their stadium this season, with three wins and a draw. Only Eintracht managed to take a point from Berlin (1:1). Consequently, 10 of their total 15 points were earned at home, placing them seventh in the Bundesliga standings, just one point behind today's opponent Freiburg.
Union is one of Germany's most defensive teams. In nine rounds, they've scored only nine goals and conceded eight, with three against Bayern. Bo Svensson's team focuses on defense and counterattacks, preferring to play reactively.
Suspensions and Injuries
Due to injuries, Juranovic, Stein, and Tousart will not play today.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Union has trailed at halftime in their last three matches
- Union is unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga home games – four wins and one draw
- Both teams scored in six of Union's last seven home league matches
- Home players were caught offside more often than opponents in five of the last six games
Projected Lineup: Rönnow – Doekhi, Vogt, Leite – Trimmel, Khedira, Kemlein, Röhl – Juranovic, Hollerbach, Vertessen.
Freiburg
Current Form
Freiburg hasn't won in the last two rounds. First, they struggled away against Leipzig (1:3). Then, they had an unnecessary 0:0 home draw with Mainz. That match featured dull football, with much midfield battle, and both teams managed only two shots on target. In the standings, Julian Schuster's team is sixth with 16 points, trailing Bayer and Borussia Dortmund only on additional criteria.
Like their upcoming opponent, Freiburg feels most comfortable at home, where they've earned 10 points since the season's start. Away, they've only beaten modest opponents Heidenheim (3:0) and Werder (1:0). They lost away only to Bayern (0:2) and Leipzig (1:3).
Their play features a traditionally solid defense and active flanks, capable of challenging any defense line. However, this might not intimidate Union's reliable defense, a tough opponent for Freiburg.
Suspensions and Injuries
Due to injuries, Roll, Kehrer, Gulde, and Schmid will not play today.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Freiburg hasn't lost in the first half of their last five matches
- At least three goals were scored in seven of their last ten Bundesliga games
- Freiburg hasn't drawn in their last five away league matches
- In six of their last eight away Bundesliga matches, the bet on both teams not scoring was successful
Projected Lineup: Atubolu – Kubler, Ginter, Linhart, Gunter – Osterhage, Eggestein – Doan, Dinkci, Grifo – Adamu.
Trends
Bet Union's win on offsides
In five of the last six matches, Union players were caught offside more often than their opponents
1.75Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet won in three of Union's last four matches
1.35Bet Exact score 1:0
All three home wins this season for Union were by a one-goal margin
6.80Bet Goals in both halves – no
In the last two head-to-head matches, no goals were scored in each half
1.72Bet Union's win on fouls
In four of the last five matches, Union players committed more fouls than their opponents
1.45Tip and bets
In the upcoming match, neighboring teams in the standings, comparable in skill, will face off. A crucial factor for them is the home field, as they earn the majority of their points at their own stadiums. We believe this gives Union an edge today. Moreover, Freiburg has never secured a win in Berlin in their Bundesliga encounters.
Our prediction is a Union victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 1.72
Total Bet
Union Berlin prioritizes a solid defense, making them the most defensive team in the Bundesliga. Freiburg also struggles to score away. It's unlikely we'll see more than two goals today.
Second bet – under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.70
Bet on Exact Score Difference
Since the start of the Bundesliga season, Union Berlin has played four home matches, winning three. Notably, all victories were by a one-goal margin. We don't expect this trend to break today, especially against a tough opponent that rarely falters defensively.
Prediction – Union Berlin to win by one or two goals with odds of 2.70