Kunlun vs. Severstal: KHL Match Prediction
Kunlun and Severstal will play their fourth match this season on November 8. So far, the score is in favor of the Cherepovets team, but recently the Chinese made a sensation and beat their opponent on the road. In September, the teams met in Mytishchi, and then the “black and yellow” managed to take two points with great difficulty. Now, the “red star” chances of success look extremely small. Who will be better in the upcoming match? How many goals will the teams score? Read about this in our forecast for the confrontation in the Moscow region
Match announcement
HC Red Star Kunlun
ChinaCurrent form
Kunlun is still in tenth place in the Western Conference standings, but could move to last place in the very near future. The Beijing club has only 18 points in 23 games. The hosts played poorly in October and were barely able to hold on to the result. However, at the end of the month, the Dragons gave CSKA a run for their money (3:4, OT), took points from Astana (2:0), and after a crushing defeat in Cherepovets (2:7), sensationally beat SKA (2:1, OT). The Stars scored at the very beginning of the game and held the advantage throughout the entire match. For Mikhail Kravets' charges, the victory over the Army Men was only the second this season on home ice. Before that, the Chinese won in Mytishchi on September 6.
The hosts remain the team with the weakest defense in the league. On average, Kunlun concedes 3.78 goals per game, while the goalies of the club from China stop only 88.7% of shots on their own territory. Kyle Keiser, Jeremy Smith and Konstantin Volkov are more like "whipping boys", because the Chinese team defenders regularly allow shots on the goal, which is guarded by the goalies.
Tomáš Jurčo has been the Red Star top scorer throughout the fall. The Slovakian forward has scored 13 points (6+7) in the goal+pass system, while his closest pursuer, Tyler Graovac (3+7), is not even in the top 100 most productive players in the KHL.
Disqualifications and injuries
All team players are ready to play against Severstal in Mytishchi.
Interesting trends for betting
- Kunlun opponents average 33 shots on goal per game
The home team goalies usually have a lot of work to do and they were able to stop only 88.7% of the shots.
- The Chinese win 51.9% of faceoffs
Mikhail Kravets' charges play well on the spot and win most of the duels after breaks.
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal is in fifth place in the West and continues to fight for a place among the conference leaders. At the moment, Cherepovets has 28 points after 21 matches, but the visitors have several games in hand and are only five points behind second place. Andrey Kozyrev charges have gained excellent form and have lost only two matches since the beginning of October. Cherepovets now has six victories in a row, with five of them achieved in regular time. As part of the away series in the east of Russia, the "black and yellows" beat Admiral (6:5, OT), Amur (2:1) and Sibir (4:2). At home, the "steelworkers" were again stronger than Khabarovsk (3:0) and routed Dynamo Minsk (5:2), as well as Kunlun (7:2). Before the next away tour, Seva was given a week to rest.
The visitors are successful in defense and have conceded only seven goals in the previous five matches. Aleksandr Samoilov has staked out the team number one spot, but Konstantin Shostak is trying his best to get him into the fight and is currently in excellent shape. Together, the goalies have blocked 91.5% of shots into their possessions and continue to bail out their partners.
Kirill Pilipenko is having a phenomenal season and is third on the league list of top scorers. The forward has scored 22 points (11+11) and is ahead of the club other forwards by a wide margin.
Disqualifications and injuries
Timofey Davydov and Alexander Skorenov will not take part in the away game against Kunlun.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal earns 4.86 penalty minutes per game on average
The Steelers don't play too often on the penalty kill, but they kill nine out of ten penalties.
- The Black and Yellows make five power moves per game
The visitors have quite a lot of possession of the puck and do not make contact with the opponent that often.
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In three of the last four games between the clubs, the second periods were productive
1.57Bet 3rd period: Severstal will score
The Steelers have scored in the third period in four of their last five starts.
1.33Tip and bets
Severstal recently crushed their opponent on home ice and got a week off. The clubs have played each other three times this season and the Chinese were able to win only once, and that was because the Cherepovets team was unable to capitalize on their chances. Yes, Kunlun beat SKA in the last home game, but Mikhail Kravets' team plays extremely poorly in Mytishchi and has not won in the Moscow region in regulation time in over two months. The Steelworkers continue to fight for a place in the top three in the West and they absolutely cannot afford to lose points in the match against the Beijing team. We suggest betting on the visitors' victory within 60 minutes.
Prediction - Severstal win for 1.67
Bet on total
The recent match between the teams was extremely entertaining and productive. In two of the three matches, the teams scored at least six times. The Chinese defense is cracking at the seams in matches at the Arena Mytishchi, but they always punish their opponents for defensive mistakes and run away into dangerous counterattacks. We believe that the fourth game of these clubs will please with at least six accurate shots.
We bet on a total of over 5.5 goals for 1.85
Bet on individual total
Severstal has gained great momentum and is making great use of its chances in every game. In just four previous starts, Andrey Kozyrev team scored 19 goals. Kunlun is worse at defense than other teams in the conference and often concede a lot at home. We think that the visitors will score at least three goals against the Dragons.
We take the individual total of Severstal more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.65
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