Kunlun vs. Severstal: KHL Match Prediction
HC Red Star Kunlun
Severstal CherepovetsKunlun and Severstal will face off for the fourth time this season on November 8. Currently, the score favors Severstal, but recently the Chinese team pulled off a surprise victory on the road. In September, the teams met in Mytishchi, where the black-and-yellows narrowly secured two points. Now, Red Star's chances for success seem quite slim. Who will come out on top in the upcoming match? How many goals will the teams score? Read our preview of the showdown in the Moscow region.
Match announcement
HC Red Star Kunlun
ChinaCurrent Form
Kunlun remains in the tenth spot in the Western Conference standings but could soon drop to the last place. The Beijing club has only 18 points from 23 matches. The hosts struggled in October, rarely securing results. However, at the end of the month, the Dragons put up a fight against CSKA (3-4, OT), took points from Astana (2-0), and after a heavy defeat in Cherepovets (2-7), they surprisingly defeated SKA (2-1, OT). The stars scored early and maintained their lead throughout the match. For Mikhail Kravets' team, the victory over the army team was only their second home win this season. Before that, the Chinese team won in Mytishchi back on September 6.
The hosts remain the team with the weakest defense in the league. On average, Kunlun concedes 3.78 goals per game, with the Chinese club's goalkeepers saving only 88.7% of shots. Kyle Keyser, Jeremy Smith, and Konstantin Volkov often seem like easy targets, as the Chinese team's defenders regularly allow shots on goal.
Throughout the fall, Tomas Jurco has been the top scorer for the Red Star. The Slovak forward has 13 points (6+7) in the goal+assist system, while his closest rival, Tyler Graovac (3+7), doesn't even rank in the top 100 most productive KHL players.
Disqualifications and Injuries
All team players are ready to play against Severstal in Mytishchi.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Kunlun's opponents average 33 shots on the Chinese goal per match
The home goalkeepers usually have a lot of work and have managed to save only 88.7% of shots.
- The Chinese team wins 51.9% of faceoffs
Mikhail Kravets' team performs well in faceoffs, winning most battles after pauses.
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Severstal is in fifth place in the West, continuing its fight for a top spot in the conference. Currently, the team from Cherepovets has 28 points after 21 games, with several games in hand, and is just five points away from second place. Under the guidance of Andrey Kozyrev, they have hit excellent form, losing only two matches since early October. They are on a six-game winning streak, with five of those victories in regulation time. During their away series in eastern Russia, the black and yellows defeated Admiral (6-5, OT), Amur (2-1), and Sibir (4-2). At home, they were stronger than Khabarovsk (3-0) and crushed Dinamo Minsk (5-2) and Kunlun (7-2). Before their next away tour, Severstal had a week to rest.
The team excels in defense, conceding only seven goals in the last five matches. Alexander Samoylov has secured the starting goalie position, but Konstantin Shostak is fiercely competing and is in great form. Together, the goalies have saved 91.5% of shots on their goal, consistently supporting their teammates.
Kirill Pilipenko is having a phenomenal season, ranking third among the league's top scorers. The forward has 22 points (11+11), significantly outpacing other club forwards.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Timofey Davydov and Alexander Skorenov will not participate in the away game against Kunlun.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Severstal averages 4.86 penalty minutes per game
The team doesn't often play shorthanded but kills nine out of ten penalties.
- The black and yellows make five hits per game
The visitors maintain puck possession frequently and rarely engage in physical play with opponents.
Trends
Bet 2nd Period: Total Over 1.5 Goals
In three of the last four games between the teams, the second periods were high-scoring
1.57Bet 3rd Period: Severstal to Score
The "Steelers" scored in the third period in four of their last five games
1.33Tip and bets
Recently, Severstal dominated their opponent on home ice and enjoyed a week of rest. This season, the teams have faced each other three times, with the Chinese team winning only once, mainly because the Cherepovets team failed to capitalize on their chances. Yes, Kunlun defeated SKA in their last home game, but Mikhail Kravets' squad has been struggling in Mytishchi, failing to secure a regulation-time win in the Moscow region for over two months. The Steelmen are fighting for a top-three spot in the West and cannot afford to drop points against the Beijing team. We suggest betting on the visitors to win within 60 minutes.
Prediction - Severstal to win at 1.67
Total Bet
The recent match between the teams was highly entertaining and high-scoring. In two out of three encounters, the teams scored at least six times. The Chinese defense struggles at the Mytishchi Arena, but they always capitalize on defensive errors and launch dangerous counterattacks. We believe the fourth game between these clubs will feature at least six accurate shots.
Bet on total over 5.5 goals at 1.85
Individual Total Bet
Severstal is in great form, effectively converting their chances in every game. In the last four starts, Andrey Kozyrev's team scored 19 goals. Kunlun has the weakest defense in the conference and often concedes a lot, especially at home. We expect the visitors to score at least three goals against the Dragons.
Take Severstal's individual total over three goals at odds of 1.65
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