LiontipsBayern vs Benfica. Prediction (odds 2.55) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
At the start of the Champions League, Bayern showed a bright match against Dinamo Zagreb, crushing the opponent with a score of 9:2. Unfortunately for the fans, such a bright continuation did not follow. In Birmingham, there was an unexpected 0:1 defeat to Aston Villa, when they failed to beat the opponent goalkeeper. In the third round, the Munich team lost away to Barcelona by all accounts with a crushing score of 1:4, unable to cope with the powerful attack of the Catalans. Having earned only three points, the Reds have cast considerable doubt on a possible finish in the top 8.
In the Bundesliga, nine rounds have passed and Bayern is habitually in first place with a three-point lead over Leipzig. Here, Vincent Kompany men have not allowed themselves a single slip-up - seven wins and two draws. In the last three rounds, they recorded major "dry" victories over Stuttgart (4:0), Bochum (5:0) and Union (3:0).
Bayern attack is unrivaled. In the championship, the Munich team has scored 32 goals. And in the Champions League, they have already managed to "show off" over Dinamo Zagreb. Threats can be expected not only from Harry Kane, but also from the same Oliseh and Musiala.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Pavlovic, Boe, Stanisic, Ito and Buchmann cannot help their team today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayern have won in the first half in their last three matches
- In the last 17 matches on their home field in the Champions League, the Munich team has not lost - 13 wins and four draws
- Bayern have not conceded more than one goal in 12 of their last 15 home matches in the Champions League
Probable line-up : Neuer - Guerreiro, Kim, Upamecano, Davies - Paligna, Kimmich - Oliseh, Musiala, Gnabry - Kane.
Current form
Benfica pleased their fans in the first two rounds of the Champions League. First, they managed to win away from home against Crvena Zvezda with a score of 2:1. Then they registered an unexpected victory at home against Atletico Madrid (4:0). It seemed that they would be able to continue what they started in the third round, as they had to play on their home field against the far from formidable Feyenoord. However, the Eagles failed that match, conceding three goals in the first half, after which they were only able to score a consolation goal (1:3). Nevertheless, six points after three rounds is a decent result for a solid mid-table team in European football.
In Primeira, https://www.slbenfica.pt target=_blank rel=noopener>Benfica has suffered only one defeat in 10 rounds, winning the other nine matches. However, its main rival Sporting is not losing any points, Bruno Lage team is in second place, although the whole battle is still ahead. In the last round of the championship, an away victory 2:1 was recorded against Farense.
It should be noted that Benfica does not have the most pleasant history of face-to-face confrontations with Bayern. In the last three matches, the Portuguese lost to the German giants by a difference of at least three goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gouveia, Prestianni and Barreiro are injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Benfica have failed to win in the first half in three of their last four matches
- Benfica are unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 Champions League away games
- Five of the last seven away matches in the Champions League involving the "eagles" have seen at least three goals scored
Probable line-up : Israel - Ba, Otamendi, Araujo, Fernandes - Kekcu, Florentino, Aursnes - Di Maria, Pavlidis, Akturkoglu.
Trends
Bet Benfica to win on fouls
In six of the last seven matches, Bayern players have committed fewer fouls than their opponents
1.70Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in Bayern four previous matches
1.87Bet Exact score 2:0
Benfica last two defeats were by two goals
9.30Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of Benfica last five matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.36Bet Benfica to win on offsides
In three of the last four matches, Benfica players have been caught offside more often than their opponents
2.75Tip and bets
Bayern are in a difficult situation in the Champions League – they have only three points. It is obvious that today the players will play with decent motivation, as they cannot afford to lose points. Benfica are inferior in class, the Eagles have lapses in defense, which could be seen in the game with Feyenoord, it is unlikely that they will be able to contain the powerful attack of the Munich team led by Kane. After the defeat to Barcelona, Vincent Kompany’s charges have shown an excellent series of three victories in a row with a total score of 12:0, there is no talk of any serious decline. We do not expect a sensation in this match.
Our prediction is a Bayern victory with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 1.72
Bet on total
Bayern have not conceded a single goal in their last three matches. It is important to take three points today, we think the Munich team will not rush to crush their opponents at any cost and will play quite pragmatically.
The second bet is Benfica individual total goals under one with odds of 1.70
Bet on the exact difference in the score
We expect in the forecast that the favorite will secure a comfortable victory with an advantage of two or three goals. Moreover, Benfica is unlikely to allow itself an outright failure; in its current form, the team is doing quite well.
Prediction: Bayern win by two or three goals with odds of 2.55
