LiontipsLiverpool vs Bayer. Prediction (odds 2.40) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Under the leadership of Arne Sloth, Liverpool is having a more than confident season, and so far they have managed to go smoothly in all tournaments. In the Premier League, after a 2:2 draw with Arsenal, the Liverpool team gave up the first line to Manchester City for one round, but immediately regained the lead. The Citizens lost to Bournemouth (1:2) in the last game, and the Merseysiders dealt with Brighton with the same score. As a result, after ten rounds, they have 25 points and a gap of two points from Josep Guardiola team. It is worth noting that Liverpool only defeat was from Nottingham Forest (0:1). There have been no other failures in any of the tournaments.
In the Champions League after three rounds, only two teams have the maximum nine points – Liverpool and Aston Villa. The Reds are behind the Birmingham team in first place only by goal difference. In the last round, they managed to beat Leipzig in a difficult match away from home with a minimal score of 1:0.
Last week, the Merseysiders successfully overcame the 1/8 finals of the League Cup, beating Brighton 3-2 away. Since the beginning of the season, the attack has been doing well. Undoubtedly, the main contribution is made by Mohamed Salah. However, we should also note Diaz, Gakpo, Nunez. Arne Slot uses these players well, carries out clear rotation without losing quality. The same Nunez scored the winning goal in the game against Leipzig, and Salah assisted him.
Disqualifications and injuries
An unpleasant situation happened in the last game with Brighton. Van Dijk accidentally stepped on Ibrahima Konate hand, perhaps the French defender will not appear on the field today, there is no exact information. Also, Allison, Elliott, Jota and Chiesa will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Seven of Liverpool last ten Champions League games have seen at least three goals scored
- Seven of the Merseysiders' previous nine home games in the LS ended in a draw at the end of the first half
- Liverpool have had more shots on target than their opponents in 23 of their last 27 games
Tentative lineup : Kelleher - Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, van Dijk, Robertson - Gravenberch, Jones - Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz - Nunez.
Current form
Bayer is not having the same brilliant season as last season, but they have managed to avoid a serious decline. In the Bundesliga, Xabi Alonso team is in fourth place after nine rounds, having scored 16 points. The Leverkusen team played their last match against Stuttgart. They managed to keep a clean sheet in defense for the first time in a long time, but at the same time they were unable to open up the opponent defense even once, although they made five shots on target. It should be noted that Bayer allowed the Swabians to make only one shot on target in that match, they clearly did some serious work on their defensive mistakes, because they have already conceded 15 goals in nine rounds.
In the Champions League, the "pharmacists" have seven points after three rounds and are in provisional sixth place. Bayer lost points only in the previous game in France, when they failed to beat Brest (1:1). Before that, there were victories over Feyenoord (4:0) and Milan (1:0). Unlike the domestic championship, https://www.bayer04.de/de-de target=_blank rel=noopener>Bayer is reliably working in defense in the Champions League, having conceded only one goal so far.
It should be noted that Xabi Alonso team plays reliably away from home. If you don't count the lost Europa League final last year, which took place on a neutral field, then taking into account all tournaments, Bayer have not lost away from home for 32 matches in a row.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Belosyan, Mukiele and Adli will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- No more than three goals have been scored in 14 of Bayer last 17 Champions League matches
- In 9 of Bayer previous 11 Champions League matches, at least one team failed to score a goal
- Three of Leverkusen last five games ended in a draw in the first half
Probable line-up : Hradecky – Tapsoba, Ta, Inkapie – Frimpong, Xhaka, Andrich, Grimaldo – Hoffman, Wirtz – Boniface.
Trends
Total under 10.5 corners bet
There have been no more than 10 corners in seven of Liverpool last nine Champions League home games
1.78Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of Liverpool last five matches
1.66Bet Exact score 1:0
Four of the last five victories for the Merseysiders have been by a one-goal margin
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last five matches, the visitors failed to score in either half.
1.93Bet Total yellow cards under 4.5
There have been no more than four yellow cards in seven of Liverpool last eight home Champions League games
1.80Tip and bets
Liverpool have been performing more consistently and evenly throughout the season, Salah has been doing well in attack, and his teammates are following suit. Plus, Slot is successfully rotating the squad, which is very important now, given the tight schedule. Bayer have clearly improved in defense, but their attack has suffered noticeably, which was evident in the game with Stuttgart at the weekend. The support of the local crowd is also an important factor for the Merseysiders. We think the hosts will win this tough battle and continue their winning streak in the Champions League.
Our prediction is a Liverpool win at odds of 1.75
Bet on total
We don't expect more than three goals today. Liverpool under Arne Sloth play quite pragmatically, they don't strive to crush their opponents at any cost. Bayer have clearly stabilized their defensive play and in four of the last five matches involving Leverkusen in all tournaments more than three goals have not been scored.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.67
Bet on the exact difference in the score
The last time Liverpool won by more than two goals was back in late September, when they thrashed West Ham 5-1 in the League Cup. They have won seven of their next eight games, each by one or two goals.
Prediction: Liverpool win by one or two goals with odds of 2.40
