LiontipsBorussia Dortmund - Sturm. Prediction (odds 2.65) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Borussia played their first two rounds in the Champions League at a high level, defeating Brugge (3:0) and Celtic (7:1). Moreover, in the away game with Real Madrid, Dortmund led 2:0, but ultimately suffered a crushing defeat 2:5. After that meeting, there was a lot of criticism of Nuri Sahin with his incomprehensible substitutions and tactical decisions. Plus, things are not going well in the Bundesliga.
Nevertheless, https://www.bvb.de target=_blank rel=noopener>Borussia played their last match of the weekend in the home championship at a high level. They managed to defeat Leipzig (2:1). The players in that match were charged with fighting on every part of the field, it was not easy, but still Guirassy scored the winning goal in the 65th minute. In the Bundesliga standings, Dortmund are in fifth place with 16 points and are behind fourth-placed Bayer only on additional indicators.
Almost all of Borussia successes this season have come at home. At Signal Iduna Park, the team has yet to drop a single point in all competitions - a streak of six wins.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are a lot of losses in the Borussia squad, which significantly reduces the possibilities for rotation of the squad. Today, due to injuries, Sule, Couto, Ryerson, Reina, Adeyemi and Duranville will not play. The appearance of Kobel, Anton and Wetjen on the field is questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Borussia have not won in the first half in their last three matches
- Dortmund have not lost in their previous 12 Champions League matches at home
- Four of Borussia last five games have ended in a draw due to offsides
Probable line-up: Meyer - Gross, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bancebaini - Nmecha, Sabitzer - Malen, Brandt, Gittens - Guirassy.
Current form
"Sturm" is quite expectedly among the outsiders in the Champions League. The Austrians have a very young squad, many of the players simply have no experience in the international arena. In three rounds, the team from Graz has not scored a single point, although there have not been any truly top opponents yet - "Brest" (1:2), "Brugge" (0:1) and "Sporting" (0:2). As you can see, there was no complete failure in any of these matches, the Austrians lost twice with a difference of only one goal.
In the domestic Bundesliga, Sturm took the championship title from Salzburg last season and are not slowing down. After 12 rounds, Christian Ilzer men are leading the table with 26 points. The gap to their closest pursuer is three points. The last game of the national championship was a 1:1 draw with Rapid.
It should be noted that Shturm successfully plays away matches. In eight official away matches in all tournaments, the team suffered only two defeats, both with a minimal difference in the score.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Wüthrich, Borkovic and Stankovic will not play in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sturm have not won in their last nine away matches in the Champions League
- In the previous six away matches in the Champions League, the team did not score more than one goal
- Sturm have not lost in the first half in four of their previous five games in all competitions
- In three of the last four matches, Sturm did not lose due to fouls
Estimated line-up : Scherpen - Gazibegovic, Aivu, Geirhofer, Lavale - Chukvuani - Yalkuye, Kiteishvili - Boving - Bieret, Yardimdzhi.
Trends
Bet Total corners under 10.5
In 8 of Borussia last 11 matches, this bet was successful
1.75Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The stake has played in three of Sturm five previous matches
1.92Bet Exact score 2:1
Sturm suffered their last two away defeats by a single goal
10.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the hosts' last five matches, goals were scored in each half
1.43Bet: Sturm wins on shots on target with handicap (+4.5)
In the last six matches, Sturm players have made more shots on target than their opponents
1.81Tip and bets
On the side of Borussia is the home field factor, where they have not lost a single point since the beginning of the season. Plus, Dortmund have a solid advantage in experience and class. However, we would not immediately write off the guests. Shahin charges have a tough match against Leipzig behind them, the infirmary is overcrowded, there are no great opportunities for rotation. Sturm lost three matches in the Champions League, but did not allow themselves to be outright failures even once, two defeats were with a difference of one goal. Let take a risk in this pair and play a bet with high odds on the underdog.
Our prediction is a victory for Sturm with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 2.65
Bet on total
Borussia have played six home games since the start of the season, and five of them have seen goals exchanged. Dortmund often allow themselves incomprehensible lapses in defense, which the visitors can take advantage of. However, it is almost impossible to withstand the pressure of a superior opponent and keep a clean sheet.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.83
Bet on the first half
It is obvious that Sturm will have to spend a lot of time in defense, and will have to break the rules somewhere. Borussia plays quite cleanly, losing three of four matches on yellow cards.
Prediction: Sturm wins on yellow cards with odds of 1.63
