LiontipsOsasuna vs Valladolid. Prediction and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Osasuna boss Vicente Moreno will miss out on his first personal win against Valladolid from the bench after being controversially sent off during a 2-0 triumph over Real Sociedad that he described as “perfect”. However, the sending off could be ill-timed given that the cursed Moreno has faced Valladolid eight times without a win in his coaching career. Los Rojillos are slight favourites to take the lead and get all three points today despite the absence of their manager from the touchline. Despite this, the 50-year-old is pleased with his team and in particular their third clean sheet of the campaign, which sets his men up for success today.
Disqualifications and injuries
Garcia will not be able to play today (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Lucas Torro develops an unexpected taste for goals, scoring in back-to-back games for the first time in his professional career
- Vicente Moreno has failed to win against Valladolid as a coach for eight games in a row
Approximate lineup : Herrera - Cateno, Arezo, Catena, Cruz - Muñoz, Moncayola, Torro, Gomez - Budimir.
Current form
Newly promoted Valladolid are living up to their status as one of the relegation favourites heading into the weekend after losing seven of their opening 11 La Liga games – their worst start to any league campaign this century as they sit 19th. However, manager Paulo Pezzolano believes “many good things” are to come after last Sunday’s 2-1 home defeat to Villarreal, despite his side failing to convert any of their chances from open play. That’s especially true for the visitors because even their vital 3-2 win over Alaves on their last La Liga away trip came courtesy of two penalties.
Disqualifications and injuries
De la Hoz (injury) and Ozankar (muscle injury) will not be able to take part in the game.
Interesting trends for betting
- No team has scored fewer goals in the first half of La Liga this season than Valladolid (two).
- Mamadou Sylla is in fantastic form these days, but it worth noting that both of his goals in October came from the penalty spot.
Probable line-up : Ferreira-Rosa, Torres, Boyomo, Comert, Ruiz-Perez, Chuki, Koke-Salla, Ndiaye.
Trends
Bet Exact score 2:1
In two of the last ten head-to-head matches, this score was recorded
6.55Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Osasuna last 5 matches, there have been no goals scored in both halves
2.15Bet Corners: total over 9.5
In 3 of the last 6 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.78Tip and bets
Both teams represent the lower half of the tournament table and today will try to somehow cling to tournament points with an equally strong opponent. There are serious problems in creation, but both clubs score goals regularly and often from set pieces. We believe that it is the weak play in defense that will give some chances for an abundance of dangerous moments and the final minimum three goals scored.
Our forecast is total over 2.5 goals and we bet on it with odds of 2.25
Bet on the outcome
Today the rivals are approximately equal in strength and everything can ultimately be decided by chance. However, we do not expect a peaceful outcome and count on the success of the hosts, who, in our opinion, now look more powerful. In addition, we expect Moreno to break his losing streak in matches against the "pusela".
Prediction: Osasuna win and we bet on it with odds of 1.70
Bet on a penalty
Both clubs will likely compensate for their lack of technique through fouls and roughness, which will lead to an abundance of set pieces, including a penalty kick. In addition, penalties have been awarded in two of the last four matches.
Prediction - penalty (yes) for 2.85
