LiontipsLiverpool vs Brighton. Prediction (odds 2.15) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Following the results of the last round, Liverpool lost the first place in the Premier League standings. The Merseysiders played away to Arsenal, were twice behind, but came back. The largely equal match ended in a 2:2 draw. In the same round, Manchester City took advantage of their competitor slip-up, won their match and beat the Liverpool team by one point.
During the week, Liverpool played away against their current opponents Brighton in the League Cup. Arne Slot fielded only four starters in that game, with Salah and McAllister also coming on as substitutes. In the end, this experimental lineup managed to win 3-2. Gakpo scored a brace in that cup game.
On the eve of the upcoming return meeting, it is somewhat alarming that the "Merseysiders" have started to concede quite a lot. They allowed "Arsenal" and "Brighton" to score twice each. Before that, there was also a 2-1 victory over "Chelsea", where the opponent could have scored more than once. In general, since the beginning of the season, Arena Slota charges have suffered only one defeat, when they failed to cope with "Nottingham Forest" on their home field in the Premier League. Let us recall that in the Champions League, "Liverpool" has scored the maximum nine points in three matches played, with which it leads the overall standings together with "Aston Villa".
Disqualifications and injuries
Elliott, Jota and Allison are all out with injuries, while Chiesa is a doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Liverpool have opened the scoring in 10 of their last 12 Premier League games
- More than three goals have not been scored in nine of the Merseysiders' previous 10 Premier League games
- In three of the last five matches, Liverpool won in the first half with an exact score of 1:0
Probable line-up : Kelleher - Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson - Gravenberg, McAllister - Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo - Nunez.
Current form
Brighton entered the season under the management of Fabian Hürzeler and are generally performing well. It is clear that this year the Seagulls have it easier, as they do not play in European competitions. In the Premier League, they managed to score 16 points in nine rounds. This figure allows them to occupy sixth place, with the gap from the top 4 being only two points.
It should be noted that https://www.brightonandhovealbion.com/pages/en/home target=_blank rel=noopener>Brighton have suffered only one defeat in the championship. It happened in an away game with Chelsea (2:4). In the last three rounds, the Seagulls beat Tottenham (3:1), Newcastle (1:0) and drew with Wolverhampton (2:2). Of course, the draw with the Wolves cannot be considered an asset, especially since they were leading 2:0 until the 88th minute, but relaxed early. In general, it is worth noting that the team has been regularly having difficulties in defense lately - in six of the seven previous matches they have conceded at least two goals.
In the League Cup game against Liverpool, Fabian Hürzeler men were losing 0:2, but fought to the end, scoring twice in the end, but also conceding another goal (2:3). The head coach could not afford a full rotation of the squad in that match, as there were many injured players.
Disqualifications and injuries
The injured list includes O'Reilly, Milner, March, Pedro and Webster, with Dunk and Minte questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- In four of their last five head-to-head encounters, Brighton have drawn level with Liverpool in the first half
- Six of Brighton previous eight Premier League games have seen goals exchanged
- Brighton have not conceded in the second half in their last five away league games
Probable line-up : Verbruggen - Hinshelwood, van Hecke, Julio, Estupinan - Baleba, Wiffer - Adingra, Rutter, Mitoma - Welbeck.
Trends
Bet : Liverpool to win on corners with handicap (-1.5)
Liverpool have won six of their last seven home Premier League meetings on corners by at least two corners
1.50Bet Liverpool to win on offsides
Brighton have lost seven of their last nine matches due to offsides
1.87Bet Exact score 3:1
Four of Liverpool last nine wins have come with a margin of at least two goals
9.90Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet has been successful in three of the five previous head-to-head meetings.
1.43Liverpool to score in first half
In four of the last five matches, the Merseysiders have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
1.42Tip and bets
In the League Cup, playing without the main lineup, Liverpool won away from home against their upcoming opponent. Today, the Merseysiders will play on their home field, the lineup will be optimal, many players have received the necessary rest. Obviously, with such a scenario, the chances of winning increase. Moreover, Brighton regularly experiences problems in defense, in six of the last seven games they have conceded at least two goals. In our opinion, there is a high probability that the favorite will confidently take three points today.
Our prediction is a Liverpool victory with an Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.60
Bet on total
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the opponents have delighted fans with productive football and scored at least three goals. Judging by the match in the League Cup, nothing has changed fundamentally this season.
The second bet is total over three goals with odds of 1.62
Yellow Card Betting
When choosing a bet on statistics, we will pay attention to the fact that Brighton players have not received more than two yellow cards in six of the last seven personal meetings on the Liverpool field in the EPL. In our opinion, this trend deserves close attention, especially considering the odds set.
Prediction: Total yellow cards for Brighton under 2.5 with odds of 2.15
