LiontipsGirona vs Leganes. Prediction (odds 3.75) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Girona poor start to the season may have reached a new low last week when they lost 1-0 to Las Palmas, leaving them closer to the relegation zone in La Liga than the European places. Manager Míchel will be glad to have the credit for their miraculous run to UEFA Champions League qualification last season, as his side have now won just two of their last ten matches. The hosts will be keen to score early in this fixture, as they are unbeaten when scoring first in the league this season, but the manager patience has certainly been tested of late, with the Red and Whites the only team in the division yet to score inside the first 30 minutes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Out of action: Porto (ankle injury), Lopez (virus), Justin (shoulder injury), Asprilla (injury), Solis Romero (muscle injury), Ruiz (muscle injury), Juan Carlos (red card) and Tsygankov (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Girona have averaged just 8.5 corners in La Liga matches this season, the third-lowest in the competition.
- A happy omen for his team could be Abel Ruiz, as each of his last 17 goalscoring appearances for the club have ended in victory, including two for Girona in La Liga this season
Estimated lineup : Gazzaniga - Martinez, Juanpe, Akobishvili, Krejci - Urena, China, Almena, Solis, Misehou - Stuani.
Current form
The visitors will be looking to end their goalless run in head-to-head matches and look well placed to do so having thrashed Celta Vigo 3-0 last time out. It was their first La Liga win by three or more goals since May 2019 and couldn’t have come at a better time for a side without a win in their previous eight league games. Leganes enter the round just one point behind the hosts but will need just a second head-to-head win to move past them. That one success came on Girona soil but the newly promoted side are yet to win away from home in the league this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Garcia, who has a shoulder injury, will not be able to take to the football field.
Interesting trends for betting
- Hailed by his manager as the 'key' to victory over Celta, Darko Brasanac should be in line to start after scoring his first goal since November 2022.
- Seven of Leganes' eight goals conceded away from home came after the break.
Estimated line-up : Soriano - Lopez, Brsanac, Cisse, Cruz - de la Fuente, Saenz, Gonzalez, Guairo - Hernandez, Raba.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the hosts' last five matches, goals were scored in one of the halves
1.62Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet has been successful in three of Girona previous five matches
1.39Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the last six matches between the rivals ended with this score.
14.90Bet Number 1 in the final score
This option was used in three of the guests' seven matches
1.99Tip and bets
The opponents are serious about the game, but there will be no easy start for Girona at their home stadium – the team clearly looks weaker than at the start of the last championship, and is unlikely to be able to easily beat the stubborn Leganes. Most likely, the game will be viscous, and the active stage will last until the first goal is scored, after which the luckier team will play to maintain the winning score.
Our forecast is total under 2.5 goals and we bet on it with odds of 1.71
Bet on the outcome
"Girona" is the clear favorite today, but we believe that the guests' condition and great desire to cling to tournament points can lead to an unexpected result. Most likely, due to maximum concentration and full dedication, the guests are able to hold off the onslaught of the "red-whites" and get one point.
The forecast is a draw and we bet on it for 3.75
Bet on corners
Since we expect an open game from both teams, it is likely that we will see a lot of attacking action from both teams and a decent number of corners in this match.
Our prediction is total over 8.5 corners with odds of 1.62
