LiontipsBorussia Dortmund vs Leipzig. Prediction and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Borussia has not demonstrated stable play and results since the start of the season. Moreover, Dortmund have clearly slowed down, because in the last five matches in all tournaments they have won only one victory, when they beat St. Pauli (2:1) on their home field, not without problems. In the standings, after the defeat in the last round from Augsburg (1:2), Nuri Sahin charges have rolled back to seventh place. In addition, this week there was an exit from Wolfsburg in the 1/16 finals of the German Cup in extra time (0:1). Borussia has obvious problems in positional attacks. One could see how with the same Augsburg they had a total advantage in possession of the ball, but did not benefit from it.
Disqualifications and injuries
Sule, Couto, Ryerson, Reyna, Adeyemi, Duranville and Gittens are all injured. Kabar is suspended for the day.
Interesting trends for betting
- Borussia last six Bundesliga matches have seen goals exchanged
- Dortmund have won six matches in a row at home in the championship
Estimated line-up : Kobel – Gross, Jan, Schlotterbeck, Bansebaini – Nmecha, Sabitzer – Malen, Brandt, Bayer – Guirassy.
Current form
Leipzig are approaching the ninth round in second place in the table, and are behind Bayern only on additional indicators. The Bulls are confidently conducting the season in the national championship and have not suffered a single defeat. However, they have not yet managed to show anything in the Champions League - not a single point in three rounds played. The key to all success in the Bundesliga is a well-organized game in defense, as evidenced by only three goals conceded. In the last round, Leipzig confidently won Freiburg (3:1) on their home field, after which they convincingly advanced to the 1/8 finals of the German Cup, beating St. Pauli with a score of 4:2.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ouedraogo, Schlager, Seiwald, Raum and Simons will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leipzig are unbeaten in 19 Bundesliga games
- The team has scored at least two goals in eight of its previous ten away games in the league
Estimated line-up : Gulácsi – Gertruyda, Orban, Lukeba, Henrichs – Noosa, Haidara, Vermeeren, Baumgartner – Sesko, Poulsen.
Trends
Borussia will not lose on yellow cards
The bet has come through in six of the hosts' last seven matches
1.45Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has won in four of the previous five head-to-head matches
2.18Bet Exact score 1:3
Leipzig have won their last three head-to-head encounters
20.00Tip and bets
Borussia have won only once in their last five matches in all tournaments. In addition, in the three previous head-to-head encounters, Dortmund lost to the Bulls. However, bookmakers are giving the hosts the advantage today, which is hard to agree with. Sahin men have serious problems in positional attacks, especially when they have to break down a well-organized defense. Leipzig is achieving success precisely due to their clear play in defense. We think the visitors will take at least one point from Dortmund today.
Our prediction: Leipzig will not lose at odds of 1.67
Bet on total
When choosing a bet on the total, you cannot ignore the statistics of personal meetings. Face-to-face confrontations, as a rule, are distinguished by high scoring. Thus, in the last 10 matches, only once were less than three goals scored. A bet on the total more suggests itself.
The second bet is total over three goals with odds of 1.70
Bet on corners
Borussia will clearly try to play first number on their home field and will most likely take more corners than their opponents. Moreover, according to statistics, Dortmund have not lost in terms of corners in seven of their eight previous games.
Prediction: Borussia win on corners with odds of 1.55
