Toronto vs Seattle: NHL Match Prediction
Toronto will face off against Seattle on their home ice on November 1st. The Leafs are undoubtedly the favorites in this matchup. While they haven't shown consistent results in recent games, they still outclass their opponent. Additionally, the Leafs have a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, often finishing games against the Kraken in their favor. What is the best bet for this matchup? Find out in our prediction.
Match announcement
Toronto Maple Leafs
Current Form
Toronto is currently in seventh place in the Eastern Conference with a total of 11 points. The team started the season strong with a three-game winning streak, but then things took a turn. Recently, they faced a series of three losses. Notably, they suffered a heavy defeat at home against St. Louis (1-5) and lost to Boston 3-4 in overtime on the road. Fortunately, in their last away game, the Leafs managed to earn two points by defeating the Western leader Winnipeg 6-4. However, due to mediocre defense, they faced significant challenges even in that match. They had a four-goal lead but nearly allowed the opponent to come back.
Similar issues have plagued Craig Berube's squad before. They excel in offense and capitalize on their chances, but they concede an average of at least three goals in return. Toronto performs best in the second period, finding more space and maintaining a good goal ratio. Strangely, the club remains one of the league's worst in power play, with only a 9.4% conversion rate, ranking near the bottom in this category. It's likely the coaching staff needs to find a different combination that consistently produces goals in the 5-on-4 format.
Suspensions and Injuries
Hakanpaa, Dewar, Mermis, Jarnkrok, Klingberg will not play in the upcoming match
Interesting Betting Trends
- Toronto has a 16:10 goal ratio in the second period
The Leafs excel in the second twenty minutes, often scoring goals
- The Leafs average 32 shots on target
Toronto is active in attack, aiming to shoot from any position
Seattle Kraken
Current Form
Seattle holds the eighth spot in the Western Conference and currently feels relatively comfortable. The team, though not consistently strong, earns points against mid-tier and lower-ranked teams. However, they recently faced a three-game losing streak. At home, they fell to Colorado (2-3), Winnipeg (3-4 OT), and suffered a defeat against Carolina with a score of 1-4. Following this, in their final clash with Montreal, the Kraken gave their all and decisively defeated the opponent, scoring eight goals - 8-2.
Dan Bylsma's squad occasionally shows such scoring prowess, breaking through defenses more than four times, but this usually happens against weaker teams. Surprisingly, Jared McCann has been the key figure in the offense at the start of the season, earning 14 points in goals and assists, and continues to score in nearly every game. It's worth noting that Seattle tends to improve towards the end and takes advantage of opponents playing more defensively. This is why the third period is the most successful for the Kraken, as they have the best goal differential in this segment.
Suspensions and Injuries
Vince Dunn will not play in the upcoming match due to injury
Interesting Betting Trends
- Seattle has a 21.9% power play conversion rate
The Kraken effectively combines in power play situations and often scores in the 5-on-4 format
- The Kraken averages 8.4 penalty minutes per game
Seattle isn't the most disciplined club, but they rarely incur more than four penalties per game
Trends
Bet 1st Period: Total Over 1.5 Goals
In four out of five matches involving the hosts, the first period was high-scoring
1.77Bet 3rd Period: Seattle to Score
In the last four games, the Kraken scored in the third period
1.55Tip and bets
In our view, Seattle can pose significant challenges to the Leafs in the upcoming match. The Kraken have frequently earned points in recent games, despite a three-game losing streak. Toronto currently appears quite uncertain and often struggles even against underdogs. Bylsma's team has only lost by more than one goal twice this season. Additionally, past head-to-head encounters have swung in favor of both teams, making it sensible to bet on the visitors' spread.
Prediction - Seattle to win with an Asian handicap (+1) on goals at 1.85
Bet on Individual Total
In all four previous matches, Toronto conceded at least three goals. The team still plays mediocre defense and often allows opponents to score three times, even if they score a lot themselves. Seattle, on average, scores no less than three to four goals. It's also worth noting that in three of the last five matches against the Leafs, they scored a lot as well.
Take Seattle's individual total over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.90
Bet on Overall Total
Matches between these clubs are often exciting and high-scoring. Both Toronto and Seattle are not known for strong defense and concede quite a bit. However, in attack, the teams look very good and capitalize on their chances. In a clash between such clubs, expect no less than six goals.
Bet on total over 5.5 goals at odds of 1.67