LiontipsMpeshi vs Khachanov. Prediction and bets on the ATP Paris match
Command Analysis
Current form
Mpeshi started in Paris with a win over Frances Tiafoe, beating him in three sets (6-7, 7-6, 6-3). Giovanni served 28 aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve during the match against the American. This was the Frenchman’s 13th indoor win this season, with six losses.
Professional qualities
Mpeshi has a good first serve and a nearly identical second serve. Giovanni is most dangerous on fast courts - last week, as a reminder, he won the title in Basel indoors. The Frenchman also hits his forehand perfectly, but his backhand and return need some work.
Current indicators in the tour
21-year-old Mpeshi is close to debuting in the top 30 of the world rankings in the near future. The day before, we recall, the Frenchman won his first "five hundred" in his career - he won an indoor tournament in Basel. In addition, this year Giovanni has victories in tournaments in Nottingham, Morelos, Acapulco and Lyon.
Interesting facts for betting
Mpeshi winning streak continues and now stands at six matches.
Current form
Khachanov defeated Christopher O'Connell in the first round of the Masters in Paris (6-4, 3-6, 7-6). Karen served ten aces, converted two break points and lost two games on his serve during the match against the Australian. The Russian has 11 wins and two losses indoors this season.
Professional qualities
Khachanov got into good shape by the end of the season. Thanks to his powerful serve and almost equally powerful forehand, he managed to win an indoor tournament in Almaty in a month and reach the final in Vienna. It should be noted that Karen is quite good at holding the ball in play on the back line, while his main focus is attack.
Current indicators in the tour
Khachanov is currently ranked 21st in the world, although the Russian was once ranked eighth. Karen has two titles under his belt this season. In the first half of the year, he won the competition in Doha and just recently he won an indoor tournament in Almaty.
Interesting facts for betting
Khachanov is defending last year quarterfinal on the courts of Paris.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Mpeshi last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.81Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Khachanov 5 previous matches
1.36Tip and bets
Mpeshi has found great momentum. Over the past two weeks, neither Auger-Aliassime, nor Shapovalov, nor Rune, nor Shelton, nor Tiafoe have been able to cope with the 21-year-old Frenchman serve. We believe that this task is beyond Khachanov capabilities, who is clearly tired after two tough weeks in Almaty and Vienna.
Our prediction is Mpeshi victory with odds of 2.15
Bet on total
Matches involving Mpeshi are usually fought with a large number of games played. However, we believe that in the upcoming match, it will be extremely difficult for the tennis players to break the total of 27 games.
The second forecast is total under 27 games for odds of 1.92
Bet on the first set
Three of Khachanov last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. Karen upcoming match against Mpeshi will likely also start with a low-scoring first set.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.41
