LiontipsMainz vs Bayern. Prediction and bets on the German Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Mainz is having a mixed season. They managed to avoid a complete failure, but nine points after eight rounds played in the Bundesliga can hardly be called a positive result. At home, the "carnival players" have not yet won in the championship - two draws and three defeats. Problems in attack are noticeable in home matches, as evidenced by only three goals scored. In the Cup at the previous stage, Bo Henriksen charges only broke the resistance of Wehen, which is inferior in class, in extra time with a score of 3:1. In the last game of the championship, Mainz drew with Borussia Mönchengladbach (1:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Onisiwo, Burkhardt, Hansche-Olsen and Ferachnig are in the hospital.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the last five head-to-head matches, Mainz have lost in the first half
- Mainz suffered their last two defeats with a clean sheet
Estimated line-up : Centner - Cor, Jenz, Leitch - Kasi, Amiri, Sano, Mwene - Lee, Nebel - Zib.
Current form
In the last round of the Bundesliga, Bayern got back in full for the defeat from Barcelona in the Champions League (1:4). The Munich team got into trouble against the crisis Bochum (5:0). That game was, one might say, one-sided; with a bit of luck, the score could have been even more devastating. In the tournament table, the Reds are in first place, but only on additional indicators are they ahead of Leipzig. So far, Vincent Kompany charges have not been doing too well in the Champions League, where they have managed to earn only three points in three rounds. In the national cup, Bayern easily thrashed Ulm 4:0 away in the previous round.
Disqualifications and injuries
Pavlovich and Boe will not play in the cup match today.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the last four head-to-head matches, Bayern won by at least two goals
- Three of Bayern last four matches have seen more than one goal scored in the first half
Probable line-up : Neuer - Laimer, Upamecano, Kim, Davies - Kimmich, Palhinha - Oliseh, Musiala, Coman - Kane.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the previous nine head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.37Bet 2nd half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of the five previous personal meetings
1.46Bet Exact score 0:4
Bayern have won their last two victories with a clean sheet
8.20Tip and bets
Mainz has surprised and beaten Bayern twice in the last two years, something few clubs in Germany can boast of. However, now is clearly not the time to expect a sensation – the “carnival players” are performing too unconvincingly, and they have not won at home even once. The Munich team has already confidently dealt with opponents of inferior class more than once during the season. Kompany has huge opportunities to rotate the squad, especially in attack, and it is unlikely that the hosts will be able to avoid a major defeat today.
Our prediction is a Bayern victory with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 1.65
Bet on total
In their last personal encounter, Bayern thrashed Mainz with an indecent score of 8:1. At the moment, the Munich attack has no equal in Germany and it is unlikely that we should expect a closed game. Moreover, in the last five victorious matches, the Reds have scored at least four goals.
The second bet is total over 3.5 goals with odds of 1.72
Bet on corners
It is obvious that Bayern will spend almost the entire match at the opponent goal, as it was with the same Bochum. In this scenario, there is a high probability that the visitors will confidently win on corners.
Prediction: Bayern to win on corners with a handicap of (-3.5) with odds of 1.83
