LiontipsBayer - Elversberg. Prediction and bets on the German Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
For Bayer, the current season is not going as smoothly as the last one. In the Bundesliga, Xabi Alonso charges are only in third place after eight rounds and are already five points behind the leading duo of Bayern and Leipzig. In the last round, the "pharmacists" were unable to beat Werder (2:2), although until the 90th minute the score was 2:1. Bayer concede a lot - in eight matches the ball has already found its way into their goal 15 times. In the Champions League, Leverkusen started with two victories, but in the third round they were unable to beat Brest (1:1). At the previous stage of the German Cup, a minimal victory of 1:0 was recorded in class over the modest club Carl Zeiss.
Disqualifications and injuries
Adli will not play today due to injury, and Terje will serve a suspension.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayer previous four matches have seen goals exchanged
- Bayer have drawn with their opponents in the first half in two of their last three matches
Approximate lineup : Kovar - Mukiele, Tapsoba, Incapie - Arthur, Palacios, Garcia, Belosyan - Tella, Schick, Hofmann.
Current form
Elversberg has been making significant progress in recent years and is now a strong representative of the Second Bundesliga. This season, after 10 rounds, the team is in seventh place and is only three points behind the top 3. Horst Steffen charges are approaching the cup game in good spirits, as the day before they beat Hamburg on their home field in the championship (4:2). At the moment, the team is on an unbeaten streak of four matches in the Second Bundesliga. In the previous cup round, Elversberg played Hildesheim from the fifth division and crushed the opponent with a score of 7:0. It is worth noting that the team has never made it through more than one stage of the Cup in its entire history, but two years ago it celebrated a resounding victory over Bayer (4:3).
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Yekel, Le Joncourt, Dragon, Panchenko will not play today. Fail will serve a disqualification.
Interesting trends for betting
- Four of Elversberg last five matches have seen goals exchanged
- In two of the three previous matches the team played to a draw in the first half
Estimated line-up : Christoph-Baum, Pinkert, Rohr, Neubauer-Petkov, Sickinger, Fellhauer, Damar-Asslani, Schnellbacher.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the last five matches, the visitors have scored goals in each half.
1.41Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in three of Bayer previous four meetings
1.72Bet Exact score 3:2
In the last three victorious matches, Bayer won by one goal
23.00Tip and bets
In our opinion, the guests should not be underestimated in this pair. Elversberg is having a successful season in the Second Bundesliga, even aiming for promotion, and is making significant progress overall. Bayer has an advantage in class, but we will obviously not see the main squad – there are tough battles ahead in the Champions League and the Bundesliga. In addition, Leverkusen has many problems in defense. Two years ago, Elversberg beat the “pharmacists” in the Cup, we think that today the guests will at least be able to avoid a crushing defeat.
Our prediction is a victory for Elversberg with an Asian handicap (+2.5) at odds of 1.94
Bet on total
We do not expect the opponents to close in defense. It is clearly worth going with the bet on the total from Bayer and its frequent problems in defense. The Elversberg players can well take advantage of the mistakes of the hosts, but they are unlikely to play to zero themselves, given the difference in class.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.84
Bet on the first half
In the last five matches in all tournaments, Bayer have never won by more than one goal in the first half, and in three matches they even drew with their opponents. We think the visitors will be able to hold off the Leverkusen attack from the start.
Forecast: Elversberg win in the first half with a handicap of (+1) with odds of 2.18
