LiontipsReal Madrid vs Barcelona. Forecast (odds 4.00) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
The first El Clasico of the season comes in a familiar situation, with Real Madrid and Barcelona occupying the top two spots in La Liga. The hosts will have to catch their bitter rivals, who are three points ahead. But that should not deter them after beating Borussia Dortmund 5-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday, having trailed 2-0 at half-time. Moreover, https://www.realmadrid.com target=_blank rel=noopener>Los Blancos are on the verge of equalling Barca record of 43 La Liga games without defeat.
Manager Carlo Ancelotti celebrated his 200th league game with a 2-1 win over Celta Vigo last weekend. Maintaining their unbeaten home run, which stretches back to April 2023, looks a bigger challenge given they will be without the injured Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. However, confidence should still be high as they have lost just one of their last five league games as hosts.
Disqualifications and injuries
Out of action are Alaba (knee injury), Carvajal (knee injury), Courtois (muscle injury), Rodrygo (muscle injury) and Diaz (thigh injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- In 12 of the last 13 head-to-head encounters, goals were scored in each half
Today we expect the same football, because this confrontation is expected not only in Spain, but also throughout the world, which will leave the players with no options to play without maximum concentration and dedication.
- Real Madrid Lucas Vazquez has proven a capable replacement for the injured Dani Carvajal
The footballer confirmed this by scoring the third goal against Borussia Dortmund in midweek. He also won a penalty, scored and made an assist in the corresponding match last season.
- Real Madrid have kept seven clean sheets out of their last eight home games
Madrid should be confident of success given the class and experience of their players.
Probable line-up : Lunin - Modric, Rudiger, Militao, Mendy - Tchouameni, Valverde, Bellingham, Modric - Mbappe, Vinicius.
Current form
Although Ancelotti is a seasoned veteran – 16 El Clásicos (nine wins, seven losses) – this will be Hansi Flick’s first taste of Spain’s biggest derby since the German took over at Barcelona in the summer. He is encouraged by the chance to use Gavi and Fermin López, who returned to action against Sevilla in a comfortable 5-1 win, meaning they have won 13 of their last 14 La Liga games (losing one). That gives them hope of avoiding a fifth straight defeat against Los Blancos.
The prolific Catalans, who thrashed Bayern 4-1 on Wednesday, have averaged 3.5 goals per game in their last four away league games and have scored at least twice in each of their last 10. That pattern began in this game last season, when the Blaugrana were only beaten by Jude Bellingham injury-time strike.
Disqualifications and injuries
Araujo (muscle injury), Bernal (knee injury), Christensen (injury), Torres (muscle injury), ter Stegen (knee injury) and Garcia (muscle injury) will not be able to play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Rafinha scored two penalties in his final game for his country
There is hope for him because he was the man behind the assist at this stadium a year ago when he provided the assist for Christensen.
- Barcelona Fermin Lopez also scored in this match last season
The footballer has already made two assists since returning from injury, both of which were made in the first half against Bayern.
- The Blaugrana have won 13 of their last 14 La Liga matches
Today, this will add motivation and confidence to the Barcelona players, who have enough classy and experienced players who play at the highest level everywhere.
Probable line-up : Pena - Martin, Dminges, Balde, Kunde - Casado, Pedri, Gundogan, Victor - Lewandowski, Rafinha.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the last four head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In 3 of Real Madrid last 5 matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
Today we do not expect a fantastic goal scoring extravaganza – both clubs have not only a fantastic attack line, but also a fairly strong defense. The loss of the goalkeeper will not be fatal for Madrid, while the overall losses today are approximately equal. We believe that today both clubs will focus maximum attention on defense, because this match can ultimately decide the fate of the entire season.
Our prediction is total under three goals and we bet on it with odds of 2.08
Bet on total
In this game, Madrid needs to win with a comfortable score difference, because at stake is the exit to the first position, where today opponent has settled. Barcelona has its own plans for the game, which in the end can spoil all the hopes and aspirations of the capital team and the current champion. Moreover, in face-to-face duels, not a single peaceful outcome has been recorded over the course of 12 games, which we do not exclude today.
The forecast is a draw and we bet on it for 4.00
Bet on corners
Most likely, the abundance of attacks and the desire to get to the goal can bring many set pieces. However, we expect movement in one direction and expect that there will be no more than nine corners.
Forecast - total corners under nine. This option can be found for 1.91
