LiontipsManchester City vs Southampton. Prediction (odds 2.35) and bets on the Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Manchester City had a slight dip in their game and results, drawing three of their four matches. But now, apparently, all the problems are behind them. The Citizens have won their previous four matches in all competitions, and in two cases by at least four goals. They managed to win in the Champions League with a crushing score of 4:0 against Slovan Bratislava and with an equally crushing score of 5:0 against Sparta Prague. In the Premier League, Josep Guardiola men have not smashed their opponents in this period, but they have won 3:2 against Fulham and 2:1 against Wolverhampton.
In the Premier League standings, Manchester City is in second place and is only one point behind Liverpool. At the same time, the gap from Arsenal and Aston Villa has reached three points. It should be noted that the Citizens have the strongest attack in the championship - 19 goals scored. Interestingly, the team top scorers include not only star forwards, but also defender Guardiol, who is currently the most productive footballer in his position in the Premier League.
Erling Haaland pleased us again in the last game against Sparta. Before that, the Norwegian had not scored for two matches in a row, but scored twice in the game against the Czechs.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodri and Bobb are definitely out today, with Doku, Grealish, Walker and De Bruyne in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Manchester City have drawn in the first half in two of their last three matches
- The Citizens are on a 31-match unbeaten run in the Premier League
- In Manchester City previous seven league games, both teams have scored goals
Probable line-up : Ederson - Lewis, Stones, Dias, Guardiol - Kovacic - Savinho, Silva, Gundogan, Foden - Haaland.
Current form
https://www.southamptonfc.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Southampton have not won a single game in eight games since returning to the Premier League. The Saints have only one point, which they managed to score in a 1-1 draw with another newcomer, Ipswich. It is no surprise that the team is currently in the relegation zone in 19th place.
In the last round, Russell Martin men had a chance to please their fans with their first victory on their home field, as they played against far from the most formidable Leicester. By the 28th minute, the hosts were leading 2:0, but played very poorly in the second half, conceding three goals (2:3). In addition, Ryan Fraser was sent off, who will miss the upcoming match.
Let note that following the results of the last round, Southampton set its anti-record in the EPL. The team has not won in the Premier League for 21 games in a row. Let recall that the series of failures started a year and a half ago, when the "saints" left the country top football division. On the positive side, we note that they managed to somewhat stabilize their attacking play - they managed to score goals in four rounds in a row.
Disqualifications and injuries
Fraser will not play today due to disqualification. Bazunu is injured and will not play.
Interesting trends for betting
- Southampton have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Both teams have scored in the Saints' previous four Premier League matches
- Southampton have had fewer shots on target than their opponents in six of their last seven games
Probable line-up : Ramsdale - Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Walker-Peters - Dibling, Aribo, Downes, Fernandes, Manning - Archer.
Trends
Southampton Total Corners Bet Over 2.5
In 9 of 11 head-to-head encounters at Manchester City, Southampton players have taken more than two corners
1.72Bet: Southampton win on offsides
Manchester City have lost their last four matches due to offsides
1.77Bet Exact score 4:1
Manchester City have won two of their last four head-to-head matches with this score
7.80Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet was successful in three of the five previous head-to-head matches
1.83Southampton to score in first half
Southampton players have scored in the opening 45 minutes in three of their last five matches
3.50Tip and bets
It is unlikely that there will be any intrigue in the upcoming meeting. Manchester City is playing at home, has a huge advantage in class and is capable of taking advantage of the Saints' defensive lapses more than once. Let pay attention to the fact that in three of the four previous face-to-face confrontations, the Citizens won with an advantage of at least three goals. After a short break, Haaland scored a double in the last match and may well build on his success today in a home match against the Premier League outsider.
Our prediction is Manchester City to win with an Asian handicap (-2.5) at odds of 1.90
Bet on total
Southampton have conceded 18 goals in eight rounds, and their defense regularly falters. Today they will have to play against a powerful Manchester City attack, and it is unlikely that the visitors will cope with such serious pressure. In three of the four previous head-to-head encounters, at least four goals were scored, and we expect the same this time.
The second bet is total over 3.5 goals with odds of 1.73
Bet on the exact difference in the score
There is a noticeable gap in class between the rivals and it is quite possible to expect Manchester City to win with a comfortable score difference of two or three goals. Moreover, two of the last three victories in personal meetings were in this format.
Prediction: Manchester City win by two to three goals with odds of 2.35
