LiontipsMpeshi - Shapovalov. Forecast and bets for the ATP Basel match
Command Analysis
Current form
Mpeshi beat Felix Auger-Aliassime (6-1, 7-6) in the second round of the competition in Basel. Giovanni hit 22 aces, converted two break points and did not lose a single game on his serve in the match against the Canadian. The Frenchman has nine wins and six losses indoors this season.
Professional qualities
Mpeshi is known for his powerful serve, which can sometimes reach speeds of up to 250 km/h. The Frenchman is also good in rallies due to his powerful forehand. One of Giovanni weaknesses is his one-handed backhand, which, unlike his forehand, is not particularly stable.
Current indicators in the tour
Mpeshi is in the bottom 50 of the world rankings. This season, the 21-year-old Frenchman has won four trophies, including the ATP tournament in Lyon. In the final of that competition, he beat Thomas Etcheverry.
Interesting facts for betting
Mpeshi last five matches have gone to straight sets.
Current form
Shapovalov broke the resistance of Roberto Bautista Agut (6-3, 7-6) in the second round of the tournament in Basel. The Canadian served 18 aces during the match, converted two break points and lost one game on his serve. For Denis, this was the sixth victory indoors this season with four losses.
Professional qualities
Shapovalov is an attacking tennis player, and he is also left-handed. He strives to dominate, hitting powerful shots at sharp angles, and his serve helps him quickly seize the initiative. The Canadian adapts well to fast surfaces - on such courts his playing style is revealed to the fullest.
Current indicators in the tour
Shapovalov has been without a trophy for several seasons now. The last time Denis won a title was in 2019, when he won the competition in Stockholm. This season, Denis can only boast of playing in the quarterfinals at the tournament in Washington.
Interesting facts for betting
Shapovalov is in good form at the moment - he has won eight of his last ten matches.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Shapovalov 5 previous matches
1.37Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Mpeshi last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.51Tip and bets
Shapovalov is the favorite in this pair, however, it seems to us that Denis is not ready for Mpeshi powerful serve. The 21-year-old Frenchman has already managed to surprise one Canadian, Auger-Aliassime, with his serve. Most likely, Giovanni will be able to beat another representative of Canada.
Our prediction is Mpeshi victory with odds of 2.61
Bet on total
Both tennis players have a good first serve in their arsenal. There is a high probability that the upcoming match between them will be a close fight and, perhaps, more than one tie-break will be played in this match.
The second forecast is total over 25 games for odds of 1.81
Bet on the first set
Three of Shapovalov last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. Denis' upcoming match against Mpeshi will likely also start with a low-scoring first set.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.29
