LiontipsIlia Topuria vs. Max Holloway. Fight Prediction and Bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Ilia Topuria became the champion of the Spanish promotion Mix Fight Events in 2016. Two years later, he signed a contract with Dana White league. The fighter from Georgia has not suffered a single defeat at the professional level. The 27-year-old Topuria has 15 wins (five by knockout, two by decision, eight by submission). In his last fight in February 2024, he defeated Australian Alexander Volkanovski (knockout, second round) and became the UFC champion for the first time.
Before that, the Georgian had defeated Americans Josh Emmett (unanimous decision) and Bryce Mitchell (submission, second round), as well as Englishman Jay Herbert (knockout, second round). El Matador has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Ilia was also quite successful in wrestling.
Latest news
Topuria promises to "blow Holloway head off" in the first 10 seconds of the fight. "Honestly, I don't care about this belt," Topuria said. "He calls himself the BMF, so we already know who the world champion is, and in the first seconds of the fight at UFC 308, we'll find out who the BMF really is, because I've already challenged him for the first 10 seconds of the fight. I'll point to the ground, and let see what he does. I’m gonna be in the center of the Octagon, so let’s get into a fight, bro. If you’re ready, I was born ready. I’m gonna be standing there for the first 10 seconds. I want to give the fans the best, most exciting 10 seconds in UFC history. They deserve it, and if he stays in the center, I promise I’m gonna knock him out. I’m gonna take his head off. I’m ready for it.”
Interesting trends for betting
Topuria takedown success rate is 56 percent.
Current form
Max Holloway is a former UFC featherweight champion and the current holder of the UFC "Brutal Man of the Month" (BMF) title. The American is ranked #8 in the lightweight division, #2 in the featherweight division, and #11 in the pound-for-pound rankings.
In his last fight in April 2024, he defeated his compatriot Justin Gaethje (KO, fifth round), and before that South Korean Chen Sung-jong (KO, third round) and Englishman Arnold Allen (unanimous).
The Hawaiian fighter has a huge collection of various MMA prizes and awards. He is also a former X-1 World Events champion. The 32-year-old Holloway has 26 wins (12 knockouts, 12 decisions, two submissions) and seven losses. The Pride of Hawaii has a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Latest news
Holloway has spoken out about Topuria claim that he was "forced to fight" ahead of UFC 308. Max, who is fighting for the second time this year, has accused Iliya of inconsistencies regarding the terms of the fight and his decision to take the fight. “The last time I checked, the BMF title wasn’t on the line,” Holloway said. “If anyone was forced to fight, it looks like he was. You know, it came out of his mouth. He said he wouldn’t fight me unless the BMF title was on the line. It’s not on the line, man, so it looks like he set himself up for it.”
Interesting trends for betting
Holloway takedown defense is 84 percent.
Trends
Bet Topuria wins by submission
Topuria has eight victories by submission/choke.
5.20Tip and bets
Bookmakers' analysts consider Topuria to be the clear favorite of the upcoming fight. In their opinion, Holloway will have very little chance of success. However, they overestimate the Georgian chances. The American is an experienced fighter who knows the taste of championship victories. Ilia looks like a boy against his background. His ambitions are, of course, great, but the fighter from Honolulu has enough strength and cunning to knock the arrogance out of the Caucasus jumper. It is worth choosing a bet that the fight will not go the full distance. The opponents have 28 early victories between them.
Our prediction is that the fight will not be complete at 1.61
