LiontipsReal Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund. Prediction (odds 2.20) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
The current Champions League winner started the updated tournament with a home win over Stuttgart (3:1). The score does not fully reflect the scenario of the game, in which the German team fought on equal terms with the Madrid team for most of the match. Only at the end, Real scored two goals, using experience, until the 83rd minute the score was 1:1. In the second round, Carlo Ancelotti charges sensationally lost away to Lille with a score of 0:1. At the end of the first half, the opponent scored the only goal from a penalty, the Madrid team, despite all efforts, could not recoup. As a result, after two rounds, the "creamy" occupy a modest 17th place in the table.
In La Liga, Real Madrid has not suffered a single defeat in 10 rounds, but has drawn three times with its rivals and lost points. Barcelona has moved into a small lead of three points, but the main battle for first place is clearly still ahead. In the last round, the Madrid team beat Celta away with a modest score of 2:1.
It is impossible not to notice that in most cases Real Madrid have a hard time winning, and they manage to win largely through experience. Thus, in ten rounds played in Primera, the “creamy” team only won twice with an advantage of more than two goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Carvajal, Alaba and Brahim Diaz are all out today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Both teams have scored in six of Real Madrid last eight Champions League matches
- In seven of Madrid previous nine Champions League matches, at least two goals were scored in the second half
- Real Madrid have won in the first half in three of their last five matches in all competitions
Probable line-up : Courtois - Vazquez, Militao, Rudiger, Mendy - Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde - Bellingham - Vinicius, Mbappe.
Current form
Borussia is in a situation similar to the previous season. In the Champions League, everything is going more than well, but in the Bundesliga there is not much stability to immediately join the championship race. At the start of the main European club tournament, Dortmund did not have the most difficult opponents, the maximum six points scored after two rounds do not cause much surprise. However, it was impressive how confidently Nuri Sahin charges took these six points. First, they beat Brugge 3:0 away, and then at home they completely routed Celtic (7:1). Thanks to the excellent goal difference, Borussia leads the standings.
Seven rounds have passed in the Bundesliga. It cannot be said that Borussia failed the opening period, but they did not show outstanding results. They managed to collect 13 points, which only allow them to occupy seventh place. The Bumblebees lost points in matches with Werder (0:0), Stuttgart (1:5) and Union (1:2). It is characteristic that all these failures were on the road. https://www.bvb.de target=_blank rel=noopener>Borussia has no equal on their home field in the home championship – a maximum of 12 points in four games.
Borussia attack has not weakened compared to last season. Serou Guirassy has arrived and has already scored seven goals in the same number of matches in all competitions. There is also Karim Adeyemi, who scored a hat-trick against Celtic, but he will not play today due to injury.
Disqualifications and injuries
Couto, Adeyemi, Reina, Duranville and Sule are injured and will not take to the field.
Interesting trends for betting
- Borussia have won five of their last six Champions League matches
- Borussia have kept a clean sheet in the first half in eight of their last ten Champions League matches
- In the last five matches involving Dortmund in all competitions, both teams have scored
Estimated line-up : Kobel – Ruerson, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini – Jan, Gross – Malen, Brandt, Sabitzer – Guirassy.
Trends
Bet Real Madrid win on corners with handicap (-1.5)
In six of Real Madrid last eight home games in the Champions League, this bet has paid off
1.65Borussia Total Yellow Cards Under 2.5 Bet
Borussia Dortmund players have not received more than two yellow cards in their previous six Champions League away games
1.68Bet Exact score 2:1
Real Madrid have won their last two games by scoring two goals each
8.30Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has been successful in three of the four previous head-to-head meetings
1.74Borussia to score in the second half
In the last five matches, Borussia players have scored goals in the second 45 minutes
2.05Tip and bets
Undoubtedly, today the guests will have a huge motivation to take revenge for the lost final. In general, Borussia looks flawless in the Champions League so far, although it is not worth overestimating the victories over Brugge and Celtic, this time the opponent is much more serious. Nevertheless, Real is not yet stable enough to stamp out crushing victories from match to match. One could see a not very confident game with Stuttgart, a defeat to Lille, the upcoming opponent is definitely not weaker than these teams. We believe that the "creamy" will not win with a difference of more than one goal.
Our prediction is a Borussia win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.75
Bet on total
In two Champions League matches, Real failed to keep a clean sheet, and Borussia will obviously have their moments, too, with Guirassy doing well in attack. At the same time, Dortmund are not particularly reliable in defense, having conceded in five previous matches. There is a high probability that today we will see an exchange of goals scored.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.62
Betting on fouls
It is clear that Real will spend a lot of time attacking at home, the guests will have to somehow contain their opponent. Borussia won in fouls in four previous matches, which is what we expect today.
Prediction: Borussia wins on fouls with Asian handicap (-1.5) with odds of 2.20
