LiontipsKunlun - Metallurg Magnitogorsk. Forecast and bets on the KHL match
Command Analysis
Current form
Kunlun have just returned home from a long away tour. The Chinese have played six games in a row on the road and were able to beat very strong clubs in St. Petersburg (5:4), Ufa (5:2) and Cherepovets (3:0). Red Star were routed in Nizhny Novgorod (0:4) and Balashikha (2:7), but showed a strong game in Yaroslavl and were very close to beating Lokomotiv (2:3, OT). On October 16, Mikhail Kravets' men started playing at home and lost to the Railwaymen again (1:5), after which they were unable to beat Sochi (0:4). Thanks to such weak results, Parker Fu team dropped to the last place in the Western Conference standings. The hosts currently have only 13 points after 17 starts.
"Red Star" remains the most conceding team in the West. On average, the Chinese allow 3.71 goals per game, while they themselves score a modest 2.24 goals per match. The Beijing team plays a lot without the puck, but makes only 11 power moves per match. The best scorer of the foreign club remains Tomas Jurcho. The Slovakian forward scored 11 goals in the regular season (5+6).
Disqualifications and injuries
Ryan Merkley will not be able to help his teammates in the game against one of the leaders of the East.
Interesting trends for betting
- Kunlun opponents block 14 shots per game
Red Star tries to attack the opponents' goal as much as possible, but these attempts are often blocked by defenders.
- The Chinese win 51% of faceoffs
Mykhailo Kravets' team operates successfully at the point and often retains possession after pauses.
Current form
Metallurg had a good winning streak in early October, but now Andrei Razin charges are alternating successes and failures. Before the current away tour, the Foxes lost to Torpedo (4:5) and Ak Bars (0:5) on home ice, but won against Avangard (4:2) and Dynamo Moscow (5:3). On October 17, Magnitka visited Dynamo Minsk (2:0). In the previous meeting, the Urals team failed to cope with Vityaz defense (0:2) and lost to the Moscow Region club without scoring. The visiting team head coach reacted very harshly to this defeat, complaining about the poor implementation of opportunities. Now Egor Yakovlev team is in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings with 18 points after 19 games.
Magnitogorsk did not play very well in defense and conceded 14 times in the five previous matches. Metallurg scored only ten goals during the same period, which cannot please the fans of the club. Dmitry Silantyev is the best scorer and assistant of the guests. The forward has scored 14 times (5+9) and is currently in excellent shape.
Disqualifications and injuries
Artem Minulin will not come to Mytishchi on Monday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Metallurg wins 50.4% of faceoffs
The Southerners aren't that bad at the point and have a decent percentage of faceoffs won.
- The Foxes are making 11 hits per game.
The visitors prefer to play more with the puck and do not force physical struggle.
Trends
Bet 1st period: Metallurg will score
In their last five home games , Kunlun have conceded in the first period
1.40Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the second periods were productive
1.55Tip and bets
We think that Kunlun losing streak will continue. The Chinese play very poorly on home ice, especially in defense. As for Metallurg, the visitors are gradually coming to their senses and are already among the top five clubs in the East. Andrei Razin team is making good use of its chances and looks great in defense on the road. The Foxes have been beating the Stars in regulation time since 2020, and they have done so exclusively within regulation time. Now it is very difficult to believe that Mikhail Kravets' team will be able to give their opponent a real fight. We suggest betting on the favorite victory within 60 minutes.
Prediction - Metallurg win for 1.70
Bet on individual total
Kunlun remains the conference weakest team in terms of defense. The Chinese concede a lot in every game, and Mytishchi has even more depressing numbers. On average, at least three goals are scored against Parker Fu team per game at Arena Mytishchi. We believe that the Foxes are capable of scoring even more.
We take the individual total of Metallurg more than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.97
Bet on total
Recently, Metallurg has started to give in on defense again and has been letting in quite a lot of goals. The hosts have a good attack line and they are obliged to score a couple of their own goals at home. We don’t think that the match in the Moscow region will be boring. Three of the previous four matches on the Beijing ice were productive. We think that this trend will continue.
We bet on a total of 5.5 more pucks for 1.80
