LiontipsSiberia - Severstal. Forecast and bets on the KHL match
Command Analysis
Current form
Sibir is one of the leaders of the Eastern Conference and currently ranks third in the standings with 19 points. We remember how difficult the start of the season was for the team, but with each match they improved and are now in their best shape. The Novosibirsk team recently had a very intense away series of matches, and they held out well, earning 70% of the points for it. Let us recall that they managed to deal with Avtomobilist (4:0), Ak Bars (6:3), and after an offensive defeat to Lada (2:3 OT), the team proved its superiority over Neftekhimik with a score of 2:1.
After that, the "snowmen" got a full week off from official matches, so they had enough time to recuperate. We would like to emphasize that since the start of the season, Vadim Epanchintsev team has improved its attacking game and significantly increased its efficiency. As a rule, Novosibirsk players score at least three goals - both at home and away. In addition, the club is currently the best in the entire championship in the majority and has a fantastic 32.5% of power play.
Good execution often saves Sibir in tough games, when the puck does not go into the opponent goal in equal numbers. Also, defenseman Trevor Murphy continues to demonstrate a classy game, who remains the main scorer in the team and has already earned 17 points in the goal + pass system.
Disqualifications and injuries
Beck will not take part in the match due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sibir won five of six games on home ice
Novosibirsk plays well with the support of their home crowd and deals with many opponents in regular time
- On average, Novosibirsk players receive 5.87 penalty minutes per game.
Sibir is one of the most disciplined clubs in the league at the moment
Current form
Severstal is in fourth place in the Western Conference and has already earned 20 points. The team can be quite happy with its current state of affairs, since last season things were not going so well for it. It usually does not have long winning streaks, but usually wins two games in a row before losing. Not long ago, the Cherepovets team unexpectedly lost to Kunlun (0:3) on home ice, while not scoring any goals, but in the away series of matches it dealt with Admiral (6:5 OT) and Amur (2:1).
It should be noted that all recent victories have been won by the "steelworkers" in a tough fight with a difference of one goal or outside of regulation time. It is worth mentioning that Andrei Kozyrev team does not show such good results away from home as it does at home, but still usually scores at least two goals. However, unlike Sibir, Severstal does not play so well in the majority and has only 13% of the implementation, but in the minority the club has greatly improved and has 89.6% of the neutralization of the extra man, occupying the second line in the league in this indicator.
It is not worth mentioning that the club is currently one of the most conceding in the championship. This is a completely logical fact, since the Cherepovets team prefers to play open hockey and is not afraid to concede an extra goal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Fomin and Kaldis will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal scored 19 goals in the second period
Cherepovets are one of the league most productive clubs in the second period
- Cherepovets players average 32 shots on target
At every convenient opportunity, Severstal tries to make a shot at the opponent goal
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was unscoring
1.78Bet 2nd period: away team win
In the two previous meetings, the Cherepovets team achieved success in the second period
3.35Tip and bets
Sibir, of course, has been playing well lately and is putting on a powerful performance on its home court, but we still wouldn't consider it a clear favorite in the matchup with Severstal. The Cherepovets team has won many previous matches against Novosibirsk.
In addition, in previous meetings, the "steelworkers" rarely lost by one goal, even when playing away. It is also necessary to take into account the fact that within the current away series, Kozyrev team has not yet suffered a single defeat. Based on this, we take the victory of the guests with a handicap.
Forecast - Severstal win with Asian handicap (+1) on goals for 1.70
Bet on individual total
In four previous games out of five against Severstal, the hosts missed at least two or three goals. The Steelworkers always count on open hockey and spend most of their time in the opponent zone. Moreover, in two games out of three, at least three goals ended up in the net of Sibir. We expect active hockey from the guests and offer a bet on their individual total.
We take Severstal individual total of more than two goals for 1.72
Total Bet
Matches involving Andrey Kozyrev team are often productive and spectacular, since he is always focused on attack. "Sibir", in turn, also showed excellent results, and before that, on average, scored at least three or four goals at home. It is quite possible that this time we will see at least five goals.
We bet on total over 4.5 goals with odds of 1.50
