LiontipsNewcastle vs Brighton. Prediction (odds 3.80) and bets on the Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Newcastle have failed to win a single game in their last three rounds – two draws and a defeat. Undoubtedly, the friendly outcome with Manchester City (1:1) is definitely worth adding to the Magpies’ assets. But the defeat to Fulham (1:3) and the draw with Everton (0:0) are definitely not the results that fans were expecting. Nevertheless, Eddie Howe’s men are in seventh place in the league table with 12 points and are two points behind the top 4.
It is impossible not to note that many of Newcastle successes are connected with their performances at home, where they managed to collect seven points out of a maximum of nine in three matches played. Goalkeeper Nick Pope makes a great contribution to the success. It was his five goals that helped them draw with Manchester City.
Disqualifications and injuries
Botman, Lascelles, Miley and Trippier are all out due to injury, while Wilson, Isak and Dubravka are questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Both teams have scored in 10 of Newcastle last 12 Premier League games
- In their previous 12 league games, the Magpies have lost in the second half just once
Estimated line-up : Pope – Livramento, Scher, Burne, Hall – Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton – Murphy, Gordon, Barnes.
Current form
Brighton ended their long losing streak on the eve of the international break. The Seagulls beat Tottenham (3:2) at home, coming back from 0:2 down. The victory allowed them to rise to sixth place in the league table. The team is ahead of today opponent only on additional indicators.
It is worth noting that Fabian Hürzeler charges have suffered only one defeat since the start of the championship - away to Chelsea with a score of 2:4. At the same time, in away matches the "seagulls" have a positive difference in goals scored and conceded (6:5).
Disqualifications and injuries
O'Reilly, Webster and Pedro are all out injured today, while Adingra, Milner and March are all injured and questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Both teams to score have been the bet in five of Brighton last six Premier League games
- Brighton have been losing in the first half in their previous two matches
Tentative line-up : Verbruggen - Veltman, van Hecke, Dank, Estupignan - Baleba, Wiffer - Minthe, Rutter, Mitoma - Welbeck.
Trends
Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
In two of the last three personal meetings, this bet has paid off
1.67Bet Total corners over 9.5
There have been at least 10 corners in six of Newcastle last seven home league games
1.58Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of Newcastle last three matches have ended in a draw
7.10Tip and bets
The rivals have the same number of points after seven rounds and are located on adjacent lines in the table. It is difficult to give anyone the advantage in this pair, the chances of winning are largely equal. It is no coincidence that the last personal meeting ended in a 1:1 draw. In addition, this season, Newcastle and Brighton have already managed to draw three times. In our opinion, there is a high probability of a peaceful outcome in this meeting.
Our prediction is a draw with odds of 3.80
Bet on total
It is worth noting that in the last ten head-to-head encounters, the opponents have scored more than three goals only twice. The upcoming game is important, as the table neighbors and top-4 contenders are meeting, and it is unlikely that anyone will take an unjustified risk.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.68
Yellow Card Betting
It should be noted that in six of the last seven away matches in the Premier League, Brighton players have not received more than two yellow cards. Based on these statistics, we recommend another option for betting.
Prediction - Brighton total yellow cards under 2.5 with odds of 1.75
