LiontipsAlaves vs. Valladolid. Prediction (odds 3.90) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Alaves went into the international break on the back of three straight defeats, a run matched only by upcoming opponents Valladolid. Luis Garcia side remain languishing in mid-table, but a five-point gap to the top five in La Liga suggests things are not all doom and gloom.
The hosts were thrashed 3-0 by league leaders Barcelona in their final home game, ending their three-game unbeaten run on their home turf ahead of the restart of the La Liga campaign. Their recent head-to-head record suggests https://www.deportivoalaves.com/es target=_blank rel=noopener>the Gloriouss could be back on track, as they have won seven of their ten home encounters in the top flight, with their only defeat coming in October 1954.
Disqualifications and injuries
Sedlar will not be able to take to the football field today (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Alaves are hoping defender Manu Sanchez can extend his impressive personal record in head-to-head encounters with the Purples
The Alaves defender is yet to concede a goal against Valladolid in four second division matches.
- Alaves have won seven of their last ten head-to-head encounters
The last time the "glorious" lost on this field was to Real Valladolid 60 years ago in 1954.
Probable lineup : Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia.
Current form
Valladolid spent the international break in the relegation zone, just two points ahead of La Liga basement boys Las Palmas. Having started the season with a 1-0 win at Espanyol, the hosts have picked up just two points from their next 24, with late goals being a particular problem – their last three league defeats have been 2-1, with the decisive goal coming in the 80th minute or later.
Valladolid must also find a way to pick up points on the road as they have lost all four of their away league games this season. That has extended their run without a win on the road in the top flight to eight and, having conceded an average of 2.63 goals per game in that run, the visitors have a lot of work to do on their defensive play.
Disqualifications and injuries
Sanchez (muscle injury), De la Hoz (injury), Ozankar (muscle injury) and Rose (card bust) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Raul Moro has scored half of Valladolid four league goals this season, and with three of his last four goals for the first team coming early in the game, he could certainly have scored another
- There is also hope for Darwin Machis, who has five assists in seven second division games (five wins, one draw, one loss)
- Valladolid have not scored a first-half goal in their last eight league games
Probable line-up : Ferreira-Rosa, Torres, Boyomo, Comert, Ruiz-Perez, Chuki, Koke-Salla, Ndiaye.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches
1.99Penalty Bet - No
In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded
1.25Tip and bets
Both teams are worthy of each other and will try to break through to the opponent goal from the first minutes. The hosts will try to build on their success, while having serious support from the home stands. The guests are in a difficult situation, while the "violet" team is unlikely to be inferior to the opponent in terms of composition. We expect that the opponents will go forward from the first minutes in search of happiness. We expect an abundance of dangerous moments and an exchange of goals.
Our prediction is both will score and we are betting on it at odds of 2.10
Bet on the outcome
The hosts are considered favourites in this match, but we believe that the visitors are not much weaker. Most likely, the game will be equal, and Valladolid is capable of pulling themselves together, especially since they have strength after a short break, which can ultimately bring them important tournament points.
The forecast is a draw and we bet on it with odds of 3.90
Bet on a red card
Both clubs can compensate for the lack of technique and speed with foul tactics, which will ultimately help and bring an abundance of violations. In addition, three red cards were shown in the last three head-to-head matches.
Prediction - red card (yes) for 3.95
