LiontipsItaly vs Israel: Predictions (Odds 2.20) and Betting Insights for the Nations League Match on October 14, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
Italy has made a strong start in the Nations League, securing an away victory against France with a score of 3-1. In the second round, they continued their success by comfortably defeating Israel 2-1. There were solid prospects to extend their winning streak in the upcoming home match against Belgium in round three. By the 24th minute, Luciano Spalletti's side was ahead 2-0, dominating the game. However, the dismissal of Pellegrini just before halftime threw a wrench into their plans. In the second half, Belgium managed to score two goals, leveling the match at 2-2. Nonetheless, as they head into the fourth round, Italy sits at the top of their group, one point ahead of France.
Suspensions and Injuries
Today, Scamacca, Barella, and Kean will miss the match due to injuries, along with Pellegrini who is suspended.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In their last two matches, Italy led at halftime.
- In 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Nations League, the team has not lost in regulation time.
Projected Lineup: Donnarumma – Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Calafiori – Cambiaso, Frattesi, Tonali, Ricci, Dimarco – Raspadori, Retegui.
Current Form
Israel initially entered the group with France, Italy, and Belgium as the underdogs and after three rounds, they have not managed to challenge that status. Coach Ran Ben Shimon's team lost all three matches in the first round, with a goal difference of 3-9. The only positive aspect is that they managed to score in every match. It’s unlikely they will avoid relegation. The team sits at the bottom of the group without any points, trailing third-placed Belgium by four points.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Solomon and Shlomo will be unavailable due to injuries.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In six of the last eight away matches in the Nations League, Israel has failed to win in regular time
- In the last three matches involving the team, there has been a consistent exchange of goals
Probable Lineup: Glazer – Nachmias, Batlaks, Felingod – Jabber, Abu Fani, Hendelman, Glukh – Haziza, Abada – Baribo.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last four matches, the guests scored in each half
1.52Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet has been successful in three of the last five matches in Italy
1.68Bet Exact score 3:1
In four of the last five matches lost by Israel, they conceded at least three goals
10.50Tip and bets
The matches from the first round clearly showed that Israel falls short of the Liga A level, significantly lagging behind all the teams in their group. Even scoring goals hasn’t been enough to help the team earn points. We don’t believe they will manage to secure even a single point against the impressively in-form Italians on their home turf.
Our prediction is an Italy win with an Asian handicap of -1.5 at odds of 1.60
Bet on Total Goals
The Italians play aggressively in attack and are not afraid of conceding. Israel has showcased their scoring ability in every match played. We believe there's a strong likelihood that both teams will find the net today. This bet has been successful in all encounters involving these teams in the current Nations League.
Our second bet is both teams to score with odds of 2.20
First Half Bet
In the last two matches, Israel found themselves trailing at halftime. It's unlikely they'll manage to contain the initial pressure from a superior opponent today.
Prediction – Italy to lead at halftime with odds of 1.55
