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Belgium vs France: Predictions and Odds at 2.75
In their last four encounters, Belgium has lost to France, with three of those matches ending without a single goal from the Belgian side. The next meeting between these two teams is set for October 14 as part of the fourth round of the Nations League. Will Didier Deschamps' team secure another victory? Find out in our prediction. Additionally, renowned expert Roman Pavlyuchenko shares his betting insights for this matchup.
Command Analysis
Belgium
BelgiumCurrent Form
In their last match, Belgium faced Italy away and was down 0-2 by the 24th minute. Italy had a clear upper hand in the game, and it seemed that coach Tedesco's team wouldn't score any points. However, just before halftime, Pellegrini from Italy received a red card, which shifted the momentum. Belgium managed to equalize with a 2-2 draw, keeping them in contention for the top two spots in the group. After three matches, Belgium sits third in the standings with four points, trailing second-place France by two points and first-place Italy by three points.
Overall, Belgium's performance has been underwhelming. While they performed well against Israel, winning 3-1, they suffered a 0-2 defeat to France, allowing numerous chances for the opponent. Additionally, Belgium struggled against Italy until the red card incident.
There are evident defensive issues for the Belgian national team, reflected in five goals conceded over three Nations League games. Even the modest team from Israel managed to penetrate Tedesco's defense.
Suspensions and Injuries
It is clear that many of Belgium's issues stem from the absence of key players such as De Bruyne, Lukaku, and Courtois. The midfield has notably lacked De Bruyne's influence in build-up play.
Betting Trends of Interest
- Belgium has not won in the first half of their last five matches across all competitions
- In their previous four matches, Belgium failed to keep a clean sheet
- In four of the last six home matches in the Nations League, Belgium has seen five or more goals scored
Projected Lineup: Castells – Castagne, Debast, Faes, De Keper – Tielemans, Mangala – Doku, De Ketelaere, Trossard – Openda.
France
FranceCurrent Form
France began its Nations League campaign with an unexpected loss to Italy (1-3). They scored in the first minute, but after that, Italy dominated the match and earned a well-deserved victory.
The setback in the opening match clearly motivated the French players. In their second match, they executed a solid defensive performance against Belgium, registering nine shots on target, creating numerous chances, and winning 3-2. This was followed by another impressive offensive display against Israel, with a 4-1 victory away. After that match, even Didier Deschamps was surprised by how effectively his squad performed in attack.
With six points after three matches, France sits in second place in the group, just one point behind Italy. Notably, the team is playing without Kylian Mbappé, but the head coach has a wide array of talent at his disposal, particularly in midfield and attack. Deschamps can enhance the team's performance with substitutions at any moment. For instance, in the match against Israel, substitutes Guendouzi and Barcola scored two late goals.
Suspensions and Injuries
Kylian Mbappé and Upamecano will not play today.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In three of France's last four matches, at least three goals have been scored.
- In six of their last seven away Nations League matches, France has not lost in regular time (four wins and two draws).
- France has defeated Belgium with a clean sheet in their last two encounters.
Projected Lineup: Maignan – Koundé, Konaté, Saliba, Hernandez – Camavinga, Tchouaméni – Dembélé, Guendouzi, Barcola – Kolo Muani.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves - yes
In three of the last five direct encounters, goals were scored in each half
1.77Bet France to score in the first half
France has scored in the first 45 minutes in their last four matches
1.97Bet Exact score 1:2
In three of the last four face-offs, France won by a one-goal margin
9.10Bet 1st half: France to win
Belgium has not won the first half in their last five matches
2.85Tip and bets
In their first-round clash, France easily defeated Belgium 2-0, creating numerous goal-scoring opportunities. The French attack is clearly in fine form, with fierce competition for starting positions in their offensive lineup. Meanwhile, the Belgian team has struggled against elite opponents, and issues with their squad are evident, particularly due to the absence of Kevin De Bruyne. Additionally, the side coached by Tedesco has shown frailty in defense, failing to keep a clean sheet in all three matches of the Nations League, allowing opponents too much freedom in their penalty area. We believe the visitors have a better chance of victory today.
Our prediction is a France win with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 1.72.
Over/Under Bet
When considering an over/under bet, it's hard to ignore France's strong attacking play paired with Belgium's defensive struggles. In two of the last three encounters between these teams in the Nations League, at least three goals were scored, and we anticipate a similar outcome today.
Our second bet is over 2.5 total goals with odds of 1.93.
Exact Score Difference Bet
France has emerged victorious in their last four head-to-head matches. Notably, all these wins were by a margin of one or two goals. There is a high likelihood of a similar result in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is a France victory by one or two goals with odds of 2.75.
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