Poland vs Portugal: Predictions and Betting Odds for the Nations League Match on October 12, 2024

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 1. national-stadium-warsaw
PolandPoland
PortugalPortugal
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Poland - Portugal
In the third round of the Nations League on October 12, Poland will face Portugal. The visitors have secured a perfect six points from two matches, sitting at the top of the table. Can the Polish team halt their opponent's winning streak today? Check out our predictions and explore the best betting options.

Command Analysis

Poland

Current Form

In the opening round of the Nations League, Poland secured a hard-fought victory against Scotland away, winning 3:2. After leading 2:0 at halftime, coach Michal Probierz's team allowed their opponents to equalize during the second half. The decisive goal came from Zalewski via a penalty in stoppage time. In the second round, Poland faced a narrow defeat against Croatia away with a score of 0:1. After two matches, the national team sits in third place in the standings with three points, trailing Croatia on tie-breakers.

Disqualifications and Injuries

Vetesk and Buksa will be sidelined due to injuries.

Interesting Betting Trends

  • In eight of their last ten Nations League matches, Poland conceded goals in the second half
  • In four of the last five matches across all competitions, both teams scored in Poland's games

Projected Lineup: Skorupski – Kiwior, Bednarek, Davidowicz – Frankowski, Szymanski, Zielinski, Urban, Zalewski – Piatek, Lewandowski.

Portugal

Current Form

Portugal has quickly established itself as the top favorite in the group, accumulating a perfect six points from two matches. They achieved 2-1 victories at home against Croatia and Scotland. Notably, Roberto Martinez's squad has impressive attacking stats, registering over 40 shots in total across the two games, with 14 on target. Although they haven't kept a clean sheet, their potent offense more than compensates for minor defensive lapses, and Cristiano Ronaldo has played a pivotal role, scoring in both fixtures.

Suspensions and Injuries

Inácio and Gonçalves will be unavailable due to injuries.

Interesting Betting Trends

  • Portugal has scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 12 official matches
  • In 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches, Portugal has remained unbeaten, with six wins and one draw

Projected Lineup: Costa – Dalot, Dias, António Silva, Mendes – Bernardo Silva, Fernandes, Vitinha – Neto, Ronaldo, Leão.

Trends

Bet Goals in both halves - yes

In three of Portugal's last five matches, goals were scored in both halves

1.64
1.64

Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals

This bet was successful in three of Poland's last five matches

2.65
2.65

Bet Exact score 1:2

This score ended Portugal's last two matches

8.00
8.00

Tip and bets

TipVictory for Portugal
1.70

The Polish national team has individually talented players; however, overall the squad lacks the depth compared to their upcoming opponent. Recent matches against Croatia and Scotland have demonstrated that Portugal can threaten from multiple players, showcasing their ability to score effortlessly. It's unlikely that the somewhat shaky defense of the hosts will hold up against such pressure today.

Our prediction is a win for Portugal at odds of 1.70

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Tiptotal over 2.5 goals
1.88

Total Bet

In the first two matches, Portugal secured victories with a consistent scoreline of 2-1, relying heavily on their attacking prowess. It’s unlikely that the upcoming match will see a lack of goals, especially with skilled strikers on both sides of the pitch.

Our second bet is on over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.88

First Half Bet

In both victories during the Nations League, Portugal gained an advantage in the first half. We predict that the guests will establish their dominance from the outset again.

Betting Tip – Portugal to lead at halftime with odds of 2.18

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips216
% of profit11.07%
Win percentage47.22%
Average coefficient1.85
Wins47.22%  (102)
Refunds8.33%  (18)
Loses44.44%  (96)
Total tips466
% of profit16.2%
Win percentage45.06%
Average coefficient1.9
Wins45.06%  (210)
Refunds8.15%  (38)
Loses46.78%  (218)