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Pere vs Garin. ATP Valencia Match Preview
On October 8, Pear and Garin will face off in the first round of the Valencia tournament. Pear is clearly struggling with his form, having suffered five consecutive defeats. In contrast, Garin has been displaying more consistent performance on clay courts recently. Given the current condition of both players, a confident victory for the Chilean seems likely. You can find our match analysis and betting tips in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Benoit Paire
FranceCurrent Form
Paire last played at the end of September during a challenger event in Vienna, where he lost in the first round to Jules Marie. On clay courts this season, the French player has recorded only two wins against nine losses.
Professional Qualities
Paire is rightly considered one of the most technically skilled players on tour, yet his lack of competitiveness has been a well-known issue for some time. The Frenchman often plays without the necessary intensity, and in his current form, he is clearly far from his best level, struggling with inconsistent serves and frequent backhand errors.
Current Tour Stats
Paire is currently ranked 271 in the world, despite having once broken into the top 20, reaching a high of 18. This season, the Frenchman has struggled significantly, making it past the second round only at the challenger event in Nouméa.
Interesting Betting Facts
In 11 matches on clay this season, Paire has managed just two victories.
Cristian Garin
ChileCurrent Form
Garín competed in a clay challenger event in Braga last week, where he only managed to clear the first round before losing to Carlos Taberner. This season, the Chilean has recorded 13 wins against 15 losses on clay.
Professional Qualities
While Garín is primarily recognized as a clay court specialist, he has effectively adapted to various surfaces. His powerful forehand, dangerous down-the-line backhand, and strong return game make him a formidable opponent. However, his inconsistent first serve continues to be a vulnerability.
Current Statistics on Tour
Garín was once ranked 17th in the world but is currently positioned at 122 in the global rankings. This season, he has reached the semifinals only twice, doing so at clay events in Estoril and Munich.
Interesting Betting Insights
In his last ten matches, Garín has secured only three victories.
Trends
Bet Set Performance: 1>2
In 3 of the last 5 matches, Paire's court events followed this pattern
2.22Bet Tiebreak in Match - Yes
This bet has been successful in 3 of Garin's last 5 matches
2.33Tip and bets
Pere has suffered five consecutive losses. It is clear that the Frenchman is not in peak form at the moment. Thus, it is unlikely to expect a strong performance from him in Valencia, especially since he will face Garin, who has been performing slightly better on clay than the French player.
Our prediction is a victory for Garin with a handicap of (-5) games at odds of 1.99
Total Bet
We anticipate that this match will be fully controlled by Garin, who is a clear favorite in this matchup. We believe that Cristian will comfortably defeat Pera in two sets.
Our second prediction is for a total of less than 22 games at odds of 1.91
First Set Bet
In Garin's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that Cristian's upcoming match against Pera will also start with a "low-scoring" opening set.
Prediction - total of less than 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.99
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