LiontipsKobolli vs Djokovic. Predictions and Betting Tips for the ATP Shanghai Match on October 8, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
In the second round of the Masters in Shanghai, Cobolli secured a victory over Stan Wawrinka with scores of 6-7, 7-6, 6-3. Flavio showcased his skills against the Swiss player, hitting eight aces, converting one break point, and did not drop a single service game. This season, the Italian has achieved 26 wins and 12 losses on outdoor hard courts.
Professional Qualities
Cobolli has undergone a remarkable transformation. Once a classic clay court player who relied on defensive tactics and physical strength, he has evolved into a versatile tennis player capable of adjusting to any surface. His improved serve and aggressive playstyle enable Flavio to dominate the court.
Current Tour Statistics
Cobolli is currently ranked 30th in the world, marking his highest career position. So far this year, the Italian has not claimed any titles, with his best performance being a runner-up finish at the tournament in Washington.
Betting Insights
In his last five matches, Cobolli has played four tiebreaks.
Current Form
Djokovic began his campaign at the Shanghai Masters with a victory over Alex Mikalitsyn, winning in two tiebreaks. During the match against the American, Novak served seven aces, converted two break points, and lost two games on his serve. This marks his fourth win on outdoor hard courts this season against four defeats.
Professional Qualities
Djokovic is among the top attacking players on tour. He possesses an outstanding backhand and an unshakeable mind, seemingly lacking any weaknesses. However, age has begun to reveal some of these vulnerabilities. The first is speed; naturally, no one gets faster with age, and even Novak, despite his uniqueness, cannot run at 37 as he did several years ago. The second concern is motivation; he himself admits that he doesn't give his all at Masters events. His main priority remains winning Grand Slam tournaments.
Current Tour Stats
This season, the former world number one has only one tournament win, which was in Paris, where Djokovic claimed the Olympic gold. Additionally, he reached the Wimbledon final but lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the decisive match.
Interesting Betting Insights
Djokovic has won 10 of his last 11 matches.
Trends
Bet Set Performance: 2>1
In 3 out of the last 5 matches, Kobolli's games followed this pattern
2.22Bet Tiebreak in the match - yes
This bet has won in 3 out of Djokovic's last 5 matches
2.33Tip and bets
Djokovic seems to have switched to energy-saving mode. The Serbian's focus has shifted towards Grand Slam tournaments, and it appears he is no longer chasing every victory. This could benefit Cobolli. Although the Italian is considered the underdog in this matchup, he has the potential to surprise.
Our prediction is a Cobolli win with a +5 games handicap at odds of 1.83
Total Bet
The matchup between Djokovic and Cobolli promises to be exciting. The Serbian is clearly not at his peak form, which could provide the Italian with an opportunity for an upset. We anticipate a fierce battle in each set.
The second prediction is over 21 games at odds of 1.97
First Set Bet
In three of Djokovic's last five matches, the first set has featured more than 9.5 games. It's likely that Novak's upcoming match against Cobolli will also kick off with a high-scoring first set.
Prediction: over 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.77
