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Fiorentina vs Milan: Predictions and Bets with Odds of 3.80
Fiorentina and AC Milan will face off on October 6 in the key match of the seventh round of Serie A. Will the Viola secure their third consecutive home win and climb the table, or will the Rossoneri prove stronger for the third time in a row against the Florentines? In our analysis, we evaluated the prospects of both teams for the upcoming clash and selected reliable betting options. What should your choice be?
Command Analysis
Fiorentina
ItalyCurrent Form
In recent seasons, Fiorentina has struggled to impress in the league, despite having a talented squad and ambitious goals. However, they have shown their capabilities on the international stage, reaching the Conference League finals twice, though they lost both decisive matches. This summer the management opted for change, with several key players departing and a new coach taking charge.
As expected, the start of the season has been challenging for Fiorentina—a significant overhaul rarely comes without its difficulties. Despite these circumstances, securing just one victory in six matches is a modest tally, and discussions about the potential dismissal of coach Raffaele Palladino are beginning to surface, even as management publicly expresses support for him.
In their latest match, Fiorentina played to a goalless draw in the Tuscan derby against Empoli, failing to create any significant opportunities throughout the game. This draw keeps them in 12th place in the standings, with a slight two-point cushion above the relegation zone. During the week, Fiorentina comfortably secured a 2-0 victory over Welsh side The New Saints in the Conference League.
Injuries and Suspensions
Mandragora is sidelined due to injury. The availability of Pongraich for the match is uncertain.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Fiorentina remains unbeaten in their last three matches, with two wins and a draw
- In six of their recent encounters, Fiorentina has scored in all but one match
- Fiorentina has lost their last two matches against AC Milan
Projected Lineup: De Gea – Biraghi, Martinez, Comuzzo – Gosens, Cataldi, Adli, Bove, Dodo – Kolpani, Ken.
AC Milan
ItalyCurrent Form
This summer, AC Milan, like its opponent today, underwent a coaching change and revamped its roster. Paulo Fonseca faces ambitious challenges this season, with a squad capable of achieving them; however, the start has been rather unimpressive. In a near-crisis situation, the team managed to deliver a strong performance and avoid the coach's dismissal.
The highlight was the 2-1 victory over Inter in the derby during the fifth round—so far, this has been Milan's strongest match of the season. Following the derby, the Rossoneri comfortably defeated Lecce at home, scoring three goals in the first half. The match concluded with a 3-0 win for Milan, propelling them to third place in the league standings.
Earlier this week, Milan faced Bayer Leverkusen away in the second round of the Champions League. Unfortunately, they could not spring a surprise and suffered a well-deserved 1-0 defeat in Leverkusen. After two rounds, the Rossoneri sit in 32nd place overall but trail the playoff zone by just one point—up next is a match against Club Brugge where catching up is easily achievable.
Injuries and Suspensions
Benasser, Florenzi, Calabria, and Sportiello are currently injured.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In their last three matches, Milan secured two victories
- Milan has scored in all but one of their eight matches this season
- In three of the last four matches, Milan conceded against Fiorentina
Projected Lineup: Maignan – Emersson, Gabbia, Tomori, Hernandez – Pulisic, Fofana, Reinders, Leao – Morata, Abraham.
Trends
Bet Exact Score 1:2
Three of the last four matches between these teams ended with this score
8.50Bet «Fiorentina» to score in the second half
In two of the last three matches, betting on «Fiorentina» has been successful
1.81Bet «Milan» to score in the first half
In five of the last six matches, betting on «Milan» has proven effective
1.89Bet Total goals in the first half over 1.5
This outcome has occurred in four of the last five matches for «Milan»
2.55Tip and bets
AC Milan enters this match riding a three-game winning streak and has climbed to third place in the standings, fully motivated to continue their upward momentum. There may be some rotation following the Champions League matches, but any adjustments are unlikely to weaken the squad. Fiorentina, on the other hand, is not in optimal form and falls short when compared to their opponent's talent pool. In their recent encounters, Fiorentina has struggled to earn points against Milan, making a bet on the visitors more appealing.
We believe the hosts have little chance of success. Our prediction is a Milan victory. This bet is offered with odds of 2.17.
Total Goals Bet
AC Milan will undoubtedly be highly motivated and focused on securing a win today; the guests are likely to attack fiercely right from the start. Despite a few underwhelming performances, the Rossoneri's offense appears strong, and Fiorentina's shaky defense shouldn't pose much of a challenge. However, at home, the Viola are capable of netting a consolation goal, particularly since Milan has been conceding regularly.
Bet Recommendation – Both Teams to Score. This wager is available at 1.65
Combined Bet
It is crucial for Milan to secure all three points today; this would help partially redeem their loss to Bayer and may allow them to surpass Juventus in the standings while closing the gap on Napoli. Overall, Milan is certainly capable of claiming all three points, whereas Fiorentina looks quite weak in the league but unlikely to give up without a fight at home; the Viola have scored at least two goals in their last three home matches.
Bet Recommendation – Milan to Win and Both Teams to Score. This wager is available at 3.80
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